Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in the April 7 high temperature forecast for Panama City, Florida, with even odds across outcomes from 26°C or below to 36°C or higher, driven by divergent guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models showing spreads of 3-5°C due to variable cloud cover, sea breeze development, and potential shortwave troughs aloft. Recent National Weather Service outlooks point to highs near 27-29°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southeast, bolstered by Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures exceeding 24°C, but springtime instability could cap peaks via isolated thunderstorms. Historical April averages hover at 25°C, with climatological variability amplified by boundary layer mixing; watch for 12Z model updates and afternoon NWS revisions for resolution cues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on April 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 7?
26°C or below 26%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
26°C or below
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
26%
26°C or below 26%
27°C 26%
28°C 26%
29°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in the April 7 high temperature forecast for Panama City, Florida, with even odds across outcomes from 26°C or below to 36°C or higher, driven by divergent guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models showing spreads of 3-5°C due to variable cloud cover, sea breeze development, and potential shortwave troughs aloft. Recent National Weather Service outlooks point to highs near 27-29°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southeast, bolstered by Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures exceeding 24°C, but springtime instability could cap peaks via isolated thunderstorms. Historical April averages hover at 25°C, with climatological variability amplified by boundary layer mixing; watch for 12Z model updates and afternoon NWS revisions for resolution cues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in the April 7 high temperature forecast for Panama City, Florida, with even odds across outcomes from 26°C or below to 36°C or higher, driven by divergent guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models showing spreads of 3-5°C due to variable cloud cover, sea breeze development, and potential shortwave troughs aloft. Recent National Weather Service outlooks point to highs near 27-29°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southeast, bolstered by Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures exceeding 24°C, but springtime instability could cap peaks via isolated thunderstorms. Historical April averages hover at 25°C, with climatological variability amplified by boundary layer mixing; watch for 12Z model updates and afternoon NWS revisions for resolution cues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 9:29 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in the April 7 high temperature forecast for Panama City, Florida, with even odds across outcomes from 26°C or below to 36°C or higher, driven by divergent guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensemble models showing spreads of 3-5°C due to variable cloud cover, sea breeze development, and potential shortwave troughs aloft. Recent National Weather Service outlooks point to highs near 27-29°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southeast, bolstered by Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures exceeding 24°C, but springtime instability could cap peaks via isolated thunderstorms. Historical April averages hover at 25°C, with climatological variability amplified by boundary layer mixing; watch for 12Z model updates and afternoon NWS revisions for resolution cues.
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