Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a forecasted high near 26°C in Buenos Aires on April 2, with leading market-implied odds split between 28°C (24.5%), 27°C (23.0%), and lower outcomes like 25°C (17.5%), driven by the latest short-range projections from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), GFS, and ECMWF models. A persistent subtropical ridge is enabling above-average early-autumn heating—exceeding the historical April 2 average of 23°C—under partly cloudy skies and light winds, but differentiating factors include midday cloud variability, moderating sea breezes off the Río de la Plata, and urban heat island amplification in the city center, creating a ±1–2°C ensemble spread. Watch SMN daily bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution based on Aeroparque station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月2日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
4月2日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
28℃ 25%
27°C 24%
25℃ 17%
26°C 16%
新規
$26,084 Vol.
新規
$26,084 Vol.
2026/04/02
23℃以下
5%
24℃
9%
25℃
17%
26°C
16%
27°C
24%
28℃
25%
29°C
8%
30℃
2%
31℃
1%
32℃
<1%
33°C以上
<1%
28℃ 25%
27°C 24%
25℃ 17%
26°C 16%
新規
$26,084 Vol.
新規
$26,084 Vol.
2026/04/02
23℃以下
$3,374 Vol.
5%
24℃
$2,237 Vol.
9%
25℃
$2,358 Vol.
17%
26°C
$3,214 Vol.
16%
27°C
$1,815 Vol.
24%
28℃
$2,244 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,019 Vol.
8%
30℃
$1,724 Vol.
2%
31℃
$3,082 Vol.
1%
32℃
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
33°C以上
$2,039 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a forecasted high near 26°C in Buenos Aires on April 2, with leading market-implied odds split between 28°C (24.5%), 27°C (23.0%), and lower outcomes like 25°C (17.5%), driven by the latest short-range projections from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), GFS, and ECMWF models. A persistent subtropical ridge is enabling above-average early-autumn heating—exceeding the historical April 2 average of 23°C—under partly cloudy skies and light winds, but differentiating factors include midday cloud variability, moderating sea breezes off the Río de la Plata, and urban heat island amplification in the city center, creating a ±1–2°C ensemble spread. Watch SMN daily bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution based on Aeroparque station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$26,084終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a forecasted high near 26°C in Buenos Aires on April 2, with leading market-implied odds split between 28°C (24.5%), 27°C (23.0%), and lower outcomes like 25°C (17.5%), driven by the latest short-range projections from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), GFS, and ECMWF models. A persistent subtropical ridge is enabling above-average early-autumn heating—exceeding the historical April 2 average of 23°C—under partly cloudy skies and light winds, but differentiating factors include midday cloud variability, moderating sea breezes off the Río de la Plata, and urban heat island amplification in the city center, creating a ±1–2°C ensemble spread. Watch SMN daily bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution based on Aeroparque station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$26,084終了日
2026/04/02マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around a forecasted high near 26°C in Buenos Aires on April 2, with leading market-implied odds split between 28°C (24.5%), 27°C (23.0%), and lower outcomes like 25°C (17.5%), driven by the latest short-range projections from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), GFS, and ECMWF models. A persistent subtropical ridge is enabling above-average early-autumn heating—exceeding the historical April 2 average of 23°C—under partly cloudy skies and light winds, but differentiating factors include midday cloud variability, moderating sea breezes off the Río de la Plata, and urban heat island amplification in the city center, creating a ±1–2°C ensemble spread. Watch SMN daily bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution based on Aeroparque station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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