Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature near 28°C for Buenos Aires on April 1, mirroring the spread in latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. This exceeds typical early April norms of 22–24°C, influenced by recent March warmth extending from Southern Hemisphere heat anomalies observed in early 2026. Key differentiators among 27°C, 28°C, and 30°C include sea breeze timing—which could moderate peaks via coastal cooling—and variable low-level moisture affecting cloud cover; models diverge by 2–3°C on these factors. Updated 12z runs from NOAA and ECMWF, plus Servicio Meteorológico Nacional advisories, are due within 24 hours to sharpen guidance ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 1?
28°C 22%
29°C 19%
27°C 18%
25°C or below 14%
25°C or below
14%
26°C
12%
27°C
18%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C
11%
33°C
13%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
5%
28°C 22%
29°C 19%
27°C 18%
25°C or below 14%
25°C or below
14%
26°C
12%
27°C
18%
28°C
22%
29°C
19%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C
11%
33°C
13%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature near 28°C for Buenos Aires on April 1, mirroring the spread in latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. This exceeds typical early April norms of 22–24°C, influenced by recent March warmth extending from Southern Hemisphere heat anomalies observed in early 2026. Key differentiators among 27°C, 28°C, and 30°C include sea breeze timing—which could moderate peaks via coastal cooling—and variable low-level moisture affecting cloud cover; models diverge by 2–3°C on these factors. Updated 12z runs from NOAA and ECMWF, plus Servicio Meteorológico Nacional advisories, are due within 24 hours to sharpen guidance ahead of resolution via official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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