Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition between 50-51°F (34%) and 48-49°F (31.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature at Sea-Tac Airport on March 30, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 50°F under persistent onshore flow and low-level marine stratus clouds capping diurnal heating. Yesterday's observed high of 46-47°F amid widespread showers and heavy March precipitation—now second-wettest on record regionally—sets the recent baseline, with upper-level troughing maintaining cool advection. Differentiating factors include HRRR model variability on afternoon cloud breaks versus sustained stratus, potentially adding 1-2°F via enhanced solar insolation; monitor 12Z NWS updates and hourly METARs for resolution as peak heating nears mid-afternoon. Climatologically, late-March highs average 54°F, underscoring current suppression by Pacific air masses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?
3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?
50〜51°F 38%
48〜49°F 33%
52~53°F 16%
46〜47°F 8%
$11,418 Vol.
$11,418 Vol.
41°F以下
<1%
42~43°F
<1%
44~45°F
3%
46〜47°F
8%
48〜49°F
33%
50〜51°F
38%
52~53°F
16%
54〜55°F
2%
56~57°F
1%
58~59°F
1%
華氏60度以上
<1%
50〜51°F 38%
48〜49°F 33%
52~53°F 16%
46〜47°F 8%
$11,418 Vol.
$11,418 Vol.
41°F以下
<1%
42~43°F
<1%
44~45°F
3%
46〜47°F
8%
48〜49°F
33%
50〜51°F
38%
52~53°F
16%
54〜55°F
2%
56~57°F
1%
58~59°F
1%
華氏60度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition between 50-51°F (34%) and 48-49°F (31.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature at Sea-Tac Airport on March 30, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 50°F under persistent onshore flow and low-level marine stratus clouds capping diurnal heating. Yesterday's observed high of 46-47°F amid widespread showers and heavy March precipitation—now second-wettest on record regionally—sets the recent baseline, with upper-level troughing maintaining cool advection. Differentiating factors include HRRR model variability on afternoon cloud breaks versus sustained stratus, potentially adding 1-2°F via enhanced solar insolation; monitor 12Z NWS updates and hourly METARs for resolution as peak heating nears mid-afternoon. Climatologically, late-March highs average 54°F, underscoring current suppression by Pacific air masses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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