Market icon

3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?

Market icon

3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?

50〜51°F 38%

48〜49°F 33%

52~53°F 16%

46〜47°F 8%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,418 Vol.

50〜51°F 38%

48〜49°F 33%

52~53°F 16%

46〜47°F 8%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,418 Vol.

41°F以下

$721 Vol.

<1%

42~43°F

$1,644 Vol.

<1%

44~45°F

$1,488 Vol.

3%

46〜47°F

$830 Vol.

8%

48〜49°F

$895 Vol.

33%

50〜51°F

$1,157 Vol.

38%

52~53°F

$834 Vol.

16%

54〜55°F

$775 Vol.

2%

56~57°F

$1,232 Vol.

1%

58~59°F

$1,021 Vol.

1%

華氏60度以上

$824 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition between 50-51°F (34%) and 48-49°F (31.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature at Sea-Tac Airport on March 30, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 50°F under persistent onshore flow and low-level marine stratus clouds capping diurnal heating. Yesterday's observed high of 46-47°F amid widespread showers and heavy March precipitation—now second-wettest on record regionally—sets the recent baseline, with upper-level troughing maintaining cool advection. Differentiating factors include HRRR model variability on afternoon cloud breaks versus sustained stratus, potentially adding 1-2°F via enhanced solar insolation; monitor 12Z NWS updates and hourly METARs for resolution as peak heating nears mid-afternoon. Climatologically, late-March highs average 54°F, underscoring current suppression by Pacific air masses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition between 50-51°F (34%) and 48-49°F (31.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature at Sea-Tac Airport on March 30, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 50°F under persistent onshore flow and low-level marine stratus clouds capping diurnal heating. Yesterday's observed high of 46-47°F amid widespread showers and heavy March precipitation—now second-wettest on record regionally—sets the recent baseline, with upper-level troughing maintaining cool advection. Differentiating factors include HRRR model variability on afternoon cloud breaks versus sustained stratus, potentially adding 1-2°F via enhanced solar insolation; monitor 12Z NWS updates and hourly METARs for resolution as peak heating nears mid-afternoon. Climatologically, late-March highs average 54°F, underscoring current suppression by Pacific air masses.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition between 50-51°F (34%) and 48-49°F (31.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature at Sea-Tac Airport on March 30, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 50°F under persistent onshore flow and low-level marine stratus clouds capping diurnal heating. Yesterday's observed high of 46-47°F amid widespread showers and heavy March precipitation—now second-wettest on record regionally—sets the recent baseline, with upper-level troughing maintaining cool advection. Differentiating factors include HRRR model variability on afternoon cloud breaks versus sustained stratus, potentially adding 1-2°F via enhanced solar insolation; monitor 12Z NWS updates and hourly METARs for resolution as peak heating nears mid-afternoon. Climatologically, late-March highs average 54°F, underscoring current suppression by Pacific air masses.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition between 50-51°F (34%) and 48-49°F (31.5%) for Seattle's highest temperature at Sea-Tac Airport on March 30, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a high near 50°F under persistent onshore flow and low-level marine stratus clouds capping diurnal heating. Yesterday's observed high of 46-47°F amid widespread showers and heavy March precipitation—now second-wettest on record regionally—sets the recent baseline, with upper-level troughing maintaining cool advection. Differentiating factors include HRRR model variability on afternoon cloud breaks versus sustained stratus, potentially adding 1-2°F via enhanced solar insolation; monitor 12Z NWS updates and hourly METARs for resolution as peak heating nears mid-afternoon. Climatologically, late-March highs average 54°F, underscoring current suppression by Pacific air masses.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「50〜51°F」で38%、次いで「48〜49°F」が33%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?」は$11.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 29, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「50〜51°F」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「48〜49°F」で33%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月30日のシアトルの最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。