Latest NOAA and National Weather Service Seattle forecasts, aligned with GFS and ECMWF ensemble means, project April 1 highs clustered at 48-51°F, reflecting trader consensus amid a persistent marine boundary layer after March 2026's record Pacific Northwest precipitation and cool snaps. The razor-thin split between 48-49°F (42%) and 50-51°F (41.5%) stems from model disagreements on afternoon stratus deck erosion and low-level wind mixing—ECMWF runs favor thicker clouds suppressing peaks near 48°F, while GFS shows potential for slight clearing to 51°F. Upper trough remnants limit warming above climatological norms (mid-50s°F average). Uncertainty persists with small-scale Puget Sound influences; monitor NWS updates at 12z/00z for refinements before resolution via SeaTac observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 1?
48-49°F 47%
50-51°F 41%
46-47°F 14%
44-45°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
43°F or below
5%
44-45°F
7%
46-47°F
20%
48-49°F
41%
50-51°F
41%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
5%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 47%
50-51°F 41%
46-47°F 14%
44-45°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
43°F or below
$174 Vol.
5%
44-45°F
$129 Vol.
7%
46-47°F
$137 Vol.
20%
48-49°F
$319 Vol.
41%
50-51°F
$267 Vol.
41%
52-53°F
$102 Vol.
5%
54-55°F
$187 Vol.
5%
56-57°F
$147 Vol.
6%
58-59°F
$400 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$400 Vol.
1%
62°F or higher
$358 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA and National Weather Service Seattle forecasts, aligned with GFS and ECMWF ensemble means, project April 1 highs clustered at 48-51°F, reflecting trader consensus amid a persistent marine boundary layer after March 2026's record Pacific Northwest precipitation and cool snaps. The razor-thin split between 48-49°F (42%) and 50-51°F (41.5%) stems from model disagreements on afternoon stratus deck erosion and low-level wind mixing—ECMWF runs favor thicker clouds suppressing peaks near 48°F, while GFS shows potential for slight clearing to 51°F. Upper trough remnants limit warming above climatological norms (mid-50s°F average). Uncertainty persists with small-scale Puget Sound influences; monitor NWS updates at 12z/00z for refinements before resolution via SeaTac observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
音量
$2,597終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA and National Weather Service Seattle forecasts, aligned with GFS and ECMWF ensemble means, project April 1 highs clustered at 48-51°F, reflecting trader consensus amid a persistent marine boundary layer after March 2026's record Pacific Northwest precipitation and cool snaps. The razor-thin split between 48-49°F (42%) and 50-51°F (41.5%) stems from model disagreements on afternoon stratus deck erosion and low-level wind mixing—ECMWF runs favor thicker clouds suppressing peaks near 48°F, while GFS shows potential for slight clearing to 51°F. Upper trough remnants limit warming above climatological norms (mid-50s°F average). Uncertainty persists with small-scale Puget Sound influences; monitor NWS updates at 12z/00z for refinements before resolution via SeaTac observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,597終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and National Weather Service Seattle forecasts, aligned with GFS and ECMWF ensemble means, project April 1 highs clustered at 48-51°F, reflecting trader consensus amid a persistent marine boundary layer after March 2026's record Pacific Northwest precipitation and cool snaps. The razor-thin split between 48-49°F (42%) and 50-51°F (41.5%) stems from model disagreements on afternoon stratus deck erosion and low-level wind mixing—ECMWF runs favor thicker clouds suppressing peaks near 48°F, while GFS shows potential for slight clearing to 51°F. Upper trough remnants limit warming above climatological norms (mid-50s°F average). Uncertainty persists with small-scale Puget Sound influences; monitor NWS updates at 12z/00z for refinements before resolution via SeaTac observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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