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4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？

Market icon

4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

17°C 37%

16°C 24%

18℃ 19%

15℃ 17%

Polymarket
NEW

17°C 37%

16°C 24%

18℃ 19%

15℃ 17%

Polymarket
NEW

10°C以下

$696 Vol.

<1%

11°C

$747 Vol.

1%

12°C

$2,012 Vol.

<1%

13℃

$196 Vol.

5%

14℃

$101 Vol.

7%

15℃

$162 Vol.

12%

16°C

$71 Vol.

24%

17°C

$96 Vol.

41%

18℃

$126 Vol.

19%

19°C

$57 Vol.

9%

20°C以上

$353 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's highest temperature on April 1 at 17°C under fine skies and developing northwesterlies, anchoring trader consensus with 41% implied probability for that outcome and 31% for 16°C. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and showers seen earlier this week, following yesterday's 18°C maximum amid passing fronts. Early autumn climatology supports these mid-teens odds, with historical April highs averaging 17°C at Wellington stations, though northwesterly gusts could boost peaks toward 18°C (20.5%). Model ensembles show tight agreement but inherent short-range uncertainty; watch overnight updates from MetService for potential shifts before resolution via official observations.

MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's highest temperature on April 1 at 17°C under fine skies and developing northwesterlies, anchoring trader consensus with 41% implied probability for that outcome and 31% for 16°C. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and showers seen earlier this week, following yesterday's 18°C maximum amid passing fronts. Early autumn climatology supports these mid-teens odds, with historical April highs averaging 17°C at Wellington stations, though northwesterly gusts could boost peaks toward 18°C (20.5%). Model ensembles show tight agreement but inherent short-range uncertainty; watch overnight updates from MetService for potential shifts before resolution via official observations.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's highest temperature on April 1 at 17°C under fine skies and developing northwesterlies, anchoring trader consensus with 41% implied probability for that outcome and 31% for 16°C. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and showers seen earlier this week, following yesterday's 18°C maximum amid passing fronts. Early autumn climatology supports these mid-teens odds, with historical April highs averaging 17°C at Wellington stations, though northwesterly gusts could boost peaks toward 18°C (20.5%). Model ensembles show tight agreement but inherent short-range uncertainty; watch overnight updates from MetService for potential shifts before resolution via official observations.

MetService's latest forecast pins Wellington's highest temperature on April 1 at 17°C under fine skies and developing northwesterlies, anchoring trader consensus with 41% implied probability for that outcome and 31% for 16°C. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and showers seen earlier this week, following yesterday's 18°C maximum amid passing fronts. Early autumn climatology supports these mid-teens odds, with historical April highs averaging 17°C at Wellington stations, though northwesterly gusts could boost peaks toward 18°C (20.5%). Model ensembles show tight agreement but inherent short-range uncertainty; watch overnight updates from MetService for potential shifts before resolution via official observations.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「17°C」で41%、次いで「16°C」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 29, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「17°C」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「16°C」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月1日のウェリントンの最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。