Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 at 22–24°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 23°C (25%), 24°C (23.5%), and 22°C (21.5%) leading. This reflects mild spring conditions in the eastern Mediterranean, where sea breezes and coastal humidity typically cap daytime highs around historical late-March averages of 21–23°C amid light southerly winds. Subtle differences arise from model disagreements on cloud cover and afternoon mixing, potentially shaving or adding 1°C; recent observational data from Israel Meteorological Service stations show stable 20–22°C highs this week with no major frontal systems approaching. New model runs expected tonight could refine these market-implied odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
22°C 31%
23°C 31%
24°C 31%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
10%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C
15%
28°C
8%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
22°C 31%
23°C 31%
24°C 31%
27°C 15%
21°C or below
10%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
8%
27°C
15%
28°C
8%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 at 22–24°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 23°C (25%), 24°C (23.5%), and 22°C (21.5%) leading. This reflects mild spring conditions in the eastern Mediterranean, where sea breezes and coastal humidity typically cap daytime highs around historical late-March averages of 21–23°C amid light southerly winds. Subtle differences arise from model disagreements on cloud cover and afternoon mixing, potentially shaving or adding 1°C; recent observational data from Israel Meteorological Service stations show stable 20–22°C highs this week with no major frontal systems approaching. New model runs expected tonight could refine these market-implied odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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