Trader consensus pinning 23°C and 24°C each at 29% stems from ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on a daytime high of 23-24°C in Tel Aviv on March 28 amid building high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent runs shifted slightly warmer from prior cooler outlooks, reflecting reduced cold air advection but persistent sea breeze moderation from the warming Levant waters, keeping diurnal peaks capped. Late-March climatology averages 21-22°C highs, with urban heat island effects potentially tipping toward 24°C; lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflect absent subtropical ridging signals, while sub-22°C odds fade with stabilizing upper-air patterns. Watch Israel Meteorological Service updates for final differentiation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月28日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
3月28日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
23℃ 29%
24℃ 29%
25℃ 17%
19°C 16%
17°C以下
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23℃
29%
24℃
29%
25℃
17%
26°C
9%
27°C以上
5%
23℃ 29%
24℃ 29%
25℃ 17%
19°C 16%
17°C以下
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
9%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23℃
29%
24℃
29%
25℃
17%
26°C
9%
27°C以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pinning 23°C and 24°C each at 29% stems from ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on a daytime high of 23-24°C in Tel Aviv on March 28 amid building high pressure over the eastern Mediterranean. Recent runs shifted slightly warmer from prior cooler outlooks, reflecting reduced cold air advection but persistent sea breeze moderation from the warming Levant waters, keeping diurnal peaks capped. Late-March climatology averages 21-22°C highs, with urban heat island effects potentially tipping toward 24°C; lower probabilities for 25°C+ reflect absent subtropical ridging signals, while sub-22°C odds fade with stabilizing upper-air patterns. Watch Israel Meteorological Service updates for final differentiation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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