Tight clustering of probabilities around 17-20°C reflects the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting a daytime high near 18-19°C in Tel Aviv on March 25, driven by mild southerly flow and moderate sea breeze from the Mediterranean suppressing peaks. Trader sentiment differentiates outcomes via afternoon cloud cover variability—favoring 18°C (22% odds) under persistent overcast versus 19-20°C (36.5% combined) if breaks allow more insolation—and residual soil moisture from prior rains cooling surfaces. Historical March highs average 20°C, but model spread (±2°C) underscores uncertainty in boundary layer mixing ahead of official Ben Gurion Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月25日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
3月25日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
18℃ 22%
19°C 19%
17°C 19%
20°C 18%
14℃以下
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
19%
18℃
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
18%
21℃
16%
22°C
16%
23℃
1%
24℃以上
1%
18℃ 22%
19°C 19%
17°C 19%
20°C 18%
14℃以下
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
19%
18℃
22%
19°C
19%
20°C
18%
21℃
16%
22°C
16%
23℃
1%
24℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight clustering of probabilities around 17-20°C reflects the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting a daytime high near 18-19°C in Tel Aviv on March 25, driven by mild southerly flow and moderate sea breeze from the Mediterranean suppressing peaks. Trader sentiment differentiates outcomes via afternoon cloud cover variability—favoring 18°C (22% odds) under persistent overcast versus 19-20°C (36.5% combined) if breaks allow more insolation—and residual soil moisture from prior rains cooling surfaces. Historical March highs average 20°C, but model spread (±2°C) underscores uncertainty in boundary layer mixing ahead of official Ben Gurion Airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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