UK Met Office forecasts indicate London's highest temperature on March 29 will likely peak at 11–12°C, aligning with trader consensus where those outcomes trade at 30% and 29% implied probabilities amid tight uncertainty. Recent ensemble model runs from ECMWF and UKMO show a cool northerly flow dominating, with high pressure ridges suppressing warmth, though variable cloud cover introduces a 1–2°C spread in maximum temperature projections. Climatologically, late March highs average 11.5°C at Heathrow, but current soil temperatures and modest Atlantic influence cap upside potential. Traders await the next 12Z model update for refined guidance on diurnally driven peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のロンドンの最高気温は?
3月29日のロンドンの最高気温は?
11°C 30%
12℃ 29%
10℃ 18%
13℃ 14%
6℃以下
1%
7℃
5%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10℃
18%
11°C
30%
12℃
29%
13℃
14%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16℃以上
<1%
11°C 30%
12℃ 29%
10℃ 18%
13℃ 14%
6℃以下
1%
7℃
5%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10℃
18%
11°C
30%
12℃
29%
13℃
14%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...UK Met Office forecasts indicate London's highest temperature on March 29 will likely peak at 11–12°C, aligning with trader consensus where those outcomes trade at 30% and 29% implied probabilities amid tight uncertainty. Recent ensemble model runs from ECMWF and UKMO show a cool northerly flow dominating, with high pressure ridges suppressing warmth, though variable cloud cover introduces a 1–2°C spread in maximum temperature projections. Climatologically, late March highs average 11.5°C at Heathrow, but current soil temperatures and modest Atlantic influence cap upside potential. Traders await the next 12Z model update for refined guidance on diurnally driven peaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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