Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities clustering around 22–24°C (17–20.5%) due to model spread from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS. The latest CMA guidance via World Meteorological Organization projects a 25°C high under clearing skies following recent cloudy, cooler conditions (21–22°C highs March 30–31), potentially boosting peak temperatures through increased solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin's topography. However, historical early-April averages hover at 21–23°C, and some models cap at 23°C amid lingering cloud risks, differentiating outcomes; watch CMA's daily updates for resolution based on official station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
22°C 22%
23°C 21%
24°C 18%
25°C or higher 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
11%
18°C
10%
19°C
11%
20°C
12%
21°C
14%
22°C
22%
23°C
21%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
16%
22°C 22%
23°C 21%
24°C 18%
25°C or higher 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
15°C or below
$230 Vol.
1%
16°C
$302 Vol.
1%
17°C
$10 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$15 Vol.
11%
20°C
$0 Vol.
12%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$4 Vol.
21%
24°C
$4 Vol.
18%
25°C or higher
$4 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities clustering around 22–24°C (17–20.5%) due to model spread from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS. The latest CMA guidance via World Meteorological Organization projects a 25°C high under clearing skies following recent cloudy, cooler conditions (21–22°C highs March 30–31), potentially boosting peak temperatures through increased solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin's topography. However, historical early-April averages hover at 21–23°C, and some models cap at 23°C amid lingering cloud risks, differentiating outcomes; watch CMA's daily updates for resolution based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
音量
$568終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities clustering around 22–24°C (17–20.5%) due to model spread from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS. The latest CMA guidance via World Meteorological Organization projects a 25°C high under clearing skies following recent cloudy, cooler conditions (21–22°C highs March 30–31), potentially boosting peak temperatures through increased solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin's topography. However, historical early-April averages hover at 21–23°C, and some models cap at 23°C amid lingering cloud risks, differentiating outcomes; watch CMA's daily updates for resolution based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$568終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1, with implied probabilities clustering around 22–24°C (17–20.5%) due to model spread from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like GFS. The latest CMA guidance via World Meteorological Organization projects a 25°C high under clearing skies following recent cloudy, cooler conditions (21–22°C highs March 30–31), potentially boosting peak temperatures through increased solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin's topography. However, historical early-April averages hover at 21–23°C, and some models cap at 23°C amid lingering cloud risks, differentiating outcomes; watch CMA's daily updates for resolution based on official station observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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