Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C in Busan on April 4, amid 90% probability of morning rain and persistent cloud cover, anchoring trader sentiment around closely matched 16–19°C outcomes at 25–26% implied probabilities each. This reflects ensemble model consensus from KMA and global guidance like ECMWF, where southerly winds introduce mild air masses (boosting potential to 18–19°C if showers clear early) but precipitation and overcast skies cap daytime heating toward 16–17°C. Early April climatology averages highs of 15–16°C, with historical variability tied to frontal passages; prolonged low clouds differentiate lower outcomes, while quicker dissipation favors upper end. Monitor KMA hourly updates for intraday shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月4日の釜山の最高気温は？
4月4日の釜山の最高気温は？
18°C 26%
19℃ 26%
16℃ 26%
17℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
13℃以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16℃
26%
17℃
26%
18°C
26%
19℃
26%
20℃
18%
21℃
18%
22℃
15%
23℃以上
6%
18°C 26%
19℃ 26%
16℃ 26%
17℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/04
13℃以下
$323 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$590 Vol.
1%
15°C
$41 Vol.
7%
16℃
$0 Vol.
26%
17℃
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19℃
$0 Vol.
26%
20℃
$0 Vol.
18%
21℃
$0 Vol.
18%
22℃
$0 Vol.
15%
23℃以上
$15 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C in Busan on April 4, amid 90% probability of morning rain and persistent cloud cover, anchoring trader sentiment around closely matched 16–19°C outcomes at 25–26% implied probabilities each. This reflects ensemble model consensus from KMA and global guidance like ECMWF, where southerly winds introduce mild air masses (boosting potential to 18–19°C if showers clear early) but precipitation and overcast skies cap daytime heating toward 16–17°C. Early April climatology averages highs of 15–16°C, with historical variability tied to frontal passages; prolonged low clouds differentiate lower outcomes, while quicker dissipation favors upper end. Monitor KMA hourly updates for intraday shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
音量
$969終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C in Busan on April 4, amid 90% probability of morning rain and persistent cloud cover, anchoring trader sentiment around closely matched 16–19°C outcomes at 25–26% implied probabilities each. This reflects ensemble model consensus from KMA and global guidance like ECMWF, where southerly winds introduce mild air masses (boosting potential to 18–19°C if showers clear early) but precipitation and overcast skies cap daytime heating toward 16–17°C. Early April climatology averages highs of 15–16°C, with historical variability tied to frontal passages; prolonged low clouds differentiate lower outcomes, while quicker dissipation favors upper end. Monitor KMA hourly updates for intraday shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$969終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C in Busan on April 4, amid 90% probability of morning rain and persistent cloud cover, anchoring trader sentiment around closely matched 16–19°C outcomes at 25–26% implied probabilities each. This reflects ensemble model consensus from KMA and global guidance like ECMWF, where southerly winds introduce mild air masses (boosting potential to 18–19°C if showers clear early) but precipitation and overcast skies cap daytime heating toward 16–17°C. Early April climatology averages highs of 15–16°C, with historical variability tied to frontal passages; prolonged low clouds differentiate lower outcomes, while quicker dissipation favors upper end. Monitor KMA hourly updates for intraday shifts ahead of resolution.
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