The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月7日のジャカルタの最高気温は？
4月7日のジャカルタの最高気温は？
28℃ 26%
29℃ 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
27℃以下
26%
28℃
26%
29℃
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33℃
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36℃
26%
37°C以上
14%
28℃ 26%
29℃ 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
27℃以下
$5 Vol.
26%
28℃
$0 Vol.
26%
29℃
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33℃
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36℃
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C以上
$10 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$15終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$15終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThe evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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