Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance issued April 2, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 5 at 19–21°C under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C (25.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as leading outcomes. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid spring climatology, where April daily highs average around 20°C, tempered by recent hazy, breezy weather cooling early-week peaks from 22°C on April 3 to 19°C projected April 4. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and peak solar insolation timing, with urban heat island effects at the official Beijing observatory potentially tipping between outcomes. New CMA bulletins and model runs on April 3–4 may sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日の北京の最高気温は？
4月5日の北京の最高気温は？
21°C 29%
20℃ 26%
19℃ 16%
18°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
1%
16℃
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19℃
16%
20℃
26%
21°C
29%
22℃
9%
23°C以上
7%
21°C 29%
20℃ 26%
19℃ 16%
18°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
13℃以下
$466 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$2,102 Vol.
1%
16℃
$1,157 Vol.
2%
17°C
$614 Vol.
5%
18°C
$283 Vol.
13%
19℃
$275 Vol.
16%
20℃
$352 Vol.
26%
21°C
$1,087 Vol.
29%
22℃
$610 Vol.
9%
23°C以上
$441 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance issued April 2, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 5 at 19–21°C under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C (25.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as leading outcomes. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid spring climatology, where April daily highs average around 20°C, tempered by recent hazy, breezy weather cooling early-week peaks from 22°C on April 3 to 19°C projected April 4. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and peak solar insolation timing, with urban heat island effects at the official Beijing observatory potentially tipping between outcomes. New CMA bulletins and model runs on April 3–4 may sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
音量
$8,585終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance issued April 2, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 5 at 19–21°C under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C (25.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as leading outcomes. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid spring climatology, where April daily highs average around 20°C, tempered by recent hazy, breezy weather cooling early-week peaks from 22°C on April 3 to 19°C projected April 4. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and peak solar insolation timing, with urban heat island effects at the official Beijing observatory potentially tipping between outcomes. New CMA bulletins and model runs on April 3–4 may sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$8,585終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETRecent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, alongside the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance issued April 2, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 5 at 19–21°C under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C (25.5%) and 21°C (28.5%) as leading outcomes. This tight clustering reflects model consensus amid spring climatology, where April daily highs average around 20°C, tempered by recent hazy, breezy weather cooling early-week peaks from 22°C on April 3 to 19°C projected April 4. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and peak solar insolation timing, with urban heat island effects at the official Beijing observatory potentially tipping between outcomes. New CMA bulletins and model runs on April 3–4 may sharpen implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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