Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-73°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 7, mirroring National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 70°F amid persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer stratocumulus deck limiting daytime heating in the LA basin. Recent 12z model runs exhibit tight 2-3°F spreads, reflecting a weak upper-level ridge over the West Coast that favors cool marine air advection without Santa Ana winds or strong subsidence to boost temps. Differentiating factors include marine layer depth—deeper persistence could cap highs at 68-69°F via increased low-cloud cover, while lighter winds or earlier burn-off might elevate to 72-75°F. Historical April averages at LAX hover near 69°F; watch 00Z model updates and NWS briefings for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 19%
64-65°F 18.0%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
63°F or below
5%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
2%
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 19%
64-65°F 18.0%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
63°F or below
$54 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$35 Vol.
18%
66-67°F
$35 Vol.
16%
68-69°F
$105 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$59 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$174 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$46 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$50 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$357 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$739 Vol.
1%
82°F or higher
$469 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-73°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 7, mirroring National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 70°F amid persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer stratocumulus deck limiting daytime heating in the LA basin. Recent 12z model runs exhibit tight 2-3°F spreads, reflecting a weak upper-level ridge over the West Coast that favors cool marine air advection without Santa Ana winds or strong subsidence to boost temps. Differentiating factors include marine layer depth—deeper persistence could cap highs at 68-69°F via increased low-cloud cover, while lighter winds or earlier burn-off might elevate to 72-75°F. Historical April averages at LAX hover near 69°F; watch 00Z model updates and NWS briefings for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
音量
$1,965終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-73°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 7, mirroring National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 70°F amid persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer stratocumulus deck limiting daytime heating in the LA basin. Recent 12z model runs exhibit tight 2-3°F spreads, reflecting a weak upper-level ridge over the West Coast that favors cool marine air advection without Santa Ana winds or strong subsidence to boost temps. Differentiating factors include marine layer depth—deeper persistence could cap highs at 68-69°F via increased low-cloud cover, while lighter winds or earlier burn-off might elevate to 72-75°F. Historical April averages at LAX hover near 69°F; watch 00Z model updates and NWS briefings for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,965終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-73°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 7, mirroring National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means near 70°F amid persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer stratocumulus deck limiting daytime heating in the LA basin. Recent 12z model runs exhibit tight 2-3°F spreads, reflecting a weak upper-level ridge over the West Coast that favors cool marine air advection without Santa Ana winds or strong subsidence to boost temps. Differentiating factors include marine layer depth—deeper persistence could cap highs at 68-69°F via increased low-cloud cover, while lighter winds or earlier burn-off might elevate to 72-75°F. Historical April averages at LAX hover near 69°F; watch 00Z model updates and NWS briefings for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問