Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-71°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service models showing highs near 69-70°F amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus clouds following March 2026's record warmth. Downtown LA's April 1 high of 67°F—below the 71°F normal—signals a cool pattern driven by low-level winds advecting Pacific air, with partial afternoon clearing possible but limited mixing aloft per 500 mb height analyses. Differentiating factors include marine layer depth (deeper intrusion favors lower temps) versus ridge amplification (shallower layer allows 72°F+). Ensemble spreads indicate 2-3°F uncertainty; watch daily 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS LOX updates for refinements before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?
70-71°F 23%
72-73°F 19%
68-69°F 18%
66-67°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
8%
78°F or higher
8%
70-71°F 23%
72-73°F 19%
68-69°F 18%
66-67°F 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
59°F or below
$319 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$253 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$98 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
17%
68-69°F
$75 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$17 Vol.
23%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
8%
78°F or higher
$12 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-71°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service models showing highs near 69-70°F amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus clouds following March 2026's record warmth. Downtown LA's April 1 high of 67°F—below the 71°F normal—signals a cool pattern driven by low-level winds advecting Pacific air, with partial afternoon clearing possible but limited mixing aloft per 500 mb height analyses. Differentiating factors include marine layer depth (deeper intrusion favors lower temps) versus ridge amplification (shallower layer allows 72°F+). Ensemble spreads indicate 2-3°F uncertainty; watch daily 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS LOX updates for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
音量
$706終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-71°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service models showing highs near 69-70°F amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus clouds following March 2026's record warmth. Downtown LA's April 1 high of 67°F—below the 71°F normal—signals a cool pattern driven by low-level winds advecting Pacific air, with partial afternoon clearing possible but limited mixing aloft per 500 mb height analyses. Differentiating factors include marine layer depth (deeper intrusion favors lower temps) versus ridge amplification (shallower layer allows 72°F+). Ensemble spreads indicate 2-3°F uncertainty; watch daily 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS LOX updates for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$706終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-71°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service models showing highs near 69-70°F amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer stratus clouds following March 2026's record warmth. Downtown LA's April 1 high of 67°F—below the 71°F normal—signals a cool pattern driven by low-level winds advecting Pacific air, with partial afternoon clearing possible but limited mixing aloft per 500 mb height analyses. Differentiating factors include marine layer depth (deeper intrusion favors lower temps) versus ridge amplification (shallower layer allows 72°F+). Ensemble spreads indicate 2-3°F uncertainty; watch daily 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs and NWS LOX updates for refinements before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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