Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2 near 23°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader sentiment toward outcomes in the 21–24°C range where implied probabilities cluster tightly above 17%. This reflects springtime warming trends, with early April climatological averages around 21°C daytime maxima, but recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to lingering frontal moisture from recent rains potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover. Historical data indicates typical variability from southerly flows, while daily updates expected tomorrow could refine intensification potential or precipitation risks tipping the balance among closely matched options.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?
4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?
19°C 25%
21°C 21%
20℃ 21%
18°C 18%
17℃以下
11%
18°C
18%
19°C
16%
20℃
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
18%
23℃
12%
24℃
16%
25℃
9%
26℃
10%
27℃以上
2%
19°C 25%
21°C 21%
20℃ 21%
18°C 18%
17℃以下
11%
18°C
18%
19°C
16%
20℃
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
18%
23℃
12%
24℃
16%
25℃
9%
26℃
10%
27℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2 near 23°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader sentiment toward outcomes in the 21–24°C range where implied probabilities cluster tightly above 17%. This reflects springtime warming trends, with early April climatological averages around 21°C daytime maxima, but recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to lingering frontal moisture from recent rains potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover. Historical data indicates typical variability from southerly flows, while daily updates expected tomorrow could refine intensification potential or precipitation risks tipping the balance among closely matched options.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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