Market icon

4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?

Market icon

4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?

19°C 25%

21°C 21%

20℃ 21%

18°C 18%

Polymarket
NEW

19°C 25%

21°C 21%

20℃ 21%

18°C 18%

Polymarket
NEW

17℃以下

$20 Vol.

11%

18°C

$7 Vol.

18%

19°C

$32 Vol.

16%

20℃

$13 Vol.

21%

21°C

$7 Vol.

21%

22°C

$7 Vol.

18%

23℃

$108 Vol.

12%

24℃

$95 Vol.

16%

25℃

$32 Vol.

9%

26℃

$7 Vol.

10%

27℃以上

$93 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2 near 23°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader sentiment toward outcomes in the 21–24°C range where implied probabilities cluster tightly above 17%. This reflects springtime warming trends, with early April climatological averages around 21°C daytime maxima, but recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to lingering frontal moisture from recent rains potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover. Historical data indicates typical variability from southerly flows, while daily updates expected tomorrow could refine intensification potential or precipitation risks tipping the balance among closely matched options.

Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2 near 23°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader sentiment toward outcomes in the 21–24°C range where implied probabilities cluster tightly above 17%. This reflects springtime warming trends, with early April climatological averages around 21°C daytime maxima, but recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to lingering frontal moisture from recent rains potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover. Historical data indicates typical variability from southerly flows, while daily updates expected tomorrow could refine intensification potential or precipitation risks tipping the balance among closely matched options.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2 near 23°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader sentiment toward outcomes in the 21–24°C range where implied probabilities cluster tightly above 17%. This reflects springtime warming trends, with early April climatological averages around 21°C daytime maxima, but recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to lingering frontal moisture from recent rains potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover. Historical data indicates typical variability from southerly flows, while daily updates expected tomorrow could refine intensification potential or precipitation risks tipping the balance among closely matched options.

Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 2 near 23°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader sentiment toward outcomes in the 21–24°C range where implied probabilities cluster tightly above 17%. This reflects springtime warming trends, with early April climatological averages around 21°C daytime maxima, but recent model runs show a 2–3°C spread due to lingering frontal moisture from recent rains potentially capping peaks via increased cloud cover. Historical data indicates typical variability from southerly flows, while daily updates expected tomorrow could refine intensification potential or precipitation risks tipping the balance among closely matched options.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「20℃」で21%、次いで「21°C」が21%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、21¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に21%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 29, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「20℃」で21%であり、市場がこの結果に21%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「21°C」で21%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月2日の武漢の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。