Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities clustered around 68-75°F amid a cooling trend from an approaching cold front and upper-level trough over South Central Texas. Recent NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance highlights warm mid-week highs in the 80s-90s giving way to increased shower and thunderstorm chances starting Thursday, peaking over the Easter weekend and capping daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF diverge on frontal timing and storm coverage, differentiating the top outcomes—stronger southerly flow could push toward 72-75°F, while deeper troughing favors 68-71°F. Daily forecast updates and new 12z model cycles will clarify this volatility before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
72-73°F 18%
68-69°F 17%
70-71°F 15%
74-75°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
11%
80°F or higher
10%
72-73°F 18%
68-69°F 17%
70-71°F 15%
74-75°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
61°F or below
$247 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$233 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$11 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
17%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$25 Vol.
13%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
11%
80°F or higher
$20 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities clustered around 68-75°F amid a cooling trend from an approaching cold front and upper-level trough over South Central Texas. Recent NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance highlights warm mid-week highs in the 80s-90s giving way to increased shower and thunderstorm chances starting Thursday, peaking over the Easter weekend and capping daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF diverge on frontal timing and storm coverage, differentiating the top outcomes—stronger southerly flow could push toward 72-75°F, while deeper troughing favors 68-71°F. Daily forecast updates and new 12z model cycles will clarify this volatility before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
音量
$536終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities clustered around 68-75°F amid a cooling trend from an approaching cold front and upper-level trough over South Central Texas. Recent NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance highlights warm mid-week highs in the 80s-90s giving way to increased shower and thunderstorm chances starting Thursday, peaking over the Easter weekend and capping daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF diverge on frontal timing and storm coverage, differentiating the top outcomes—stronger southerly flow could push toward 72-75°F, while deeper troughing favors 68-71°F. Daily forecast updates and new 12z model cycles will clarify this volatility before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$536終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on April 6, with implied probabilities clustered around 68-75°F amid a cooling trend from an approaching cold front and upper-level trough over South Central Texas. Recent NWS Austin/San Antonio guidance highlights warm mid-week highs in the 80s-90s giving way to increased shower and thunderstorm chances starting Thursday, peaking over the Easter weekend and capping daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF diverge on frontal timing and storm coverage, differentiating the top outcomes—stronger southerly flow could push toward 72-75°F, while deeper troughing favors 68-71°F. Daily forecast updates and new 12z model cycles will clarify this volatility before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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