The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 20–25°C for Taipei on April 6 amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, reflecting persistent springtime instability from lingering cold fronts and southerly moisture influxes following recent rain systems over the Qingming holiday period. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 20°C or below to 30°C or higher, captures ensemble model divergences—GFS and ECMWF runs showing sensitivity to subtropical ridge positioning and cloud cover, which could suppress highs below 23°C under overcast skies or allow spikes above 28°C with clearing and downslope winds. Watch for daily CWA updates and new model outputs through April 5, as proximity to resolution amplifies volatility in this urban heat-influenced locale where historical April peaks average 24–26°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 6?
30°C or higher 19%
24°C 12%
26°C 12%
27°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
20°C or below
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
11%
24°C
12%
25°C
11%
26°C
12%
27°C
12%
28°C
12%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
19%
30°C or higher 19%
24°C 12%
26°C 12%
27°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
20°C or below
$258 Vol.
1%
21°C
$26 Vol.
9%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
12%
27°C
$0 Vol.
12%
28°C
$0 Vol.
12%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C or higher
$1 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 20–25°C for Taipei on April 6 amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, reflecting persistent springtime instability from lingering cold fronts and southerly moisture influxes following recent rain systems over the Qingming holiday period. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 20°C or below to 30°C or higher, captures ensemble model divergences—GFS and ECMWF runs showing sensitivity to subtropical ridge positioning and cloud cover, which could suppress highs below 23°C under overcast skies or allow spikes above 28°C with clearing and downslope winds. Watch for daily CWA updates and new model outputs through April 5, as proximity to resolution amplifies volatility in this urban heat-influenced locale where historical April peaks average 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
音量
$265終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 20–25°C for Taipei on April 6 amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, reflecting persistent springtime instability from lingering cold fronts and southerly moisture influxes following recent rain systems over the Qingming holiday period. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 20°C or below to 30°C or higher, captures ensemble model divergences—GFS and ECMWF runs showing sensitivity to subtropical ridge positioning and cloud cover, which could suppress highs below 23°C under overcast skies or allow spikes above 28°C with clearing and downslope winds. Watch for daily CWA updates and new model outputs through April 5, as proximity to resolution amplifies volatility in this urban heat-influenced locale where historical April peaks average 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$265終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:14 AM ETThe Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects a daytime high of 20–25°C for Taipei on April 6 amid mostly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, reflecting persistent springtime instability from lingering cold fronts and southerly moisture influxes following recent rain systems over the Qingming holiday period. Trader consensus, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 20°C or below to 30°C or higher, captures ensemble model divergences—GFS and ECMWF runs showing sensitivity to subtropical ridge positioning and cloud cover, which could suppress highs below 23°C under overcast skies or allow spikes above 28°C with clearing and downslope winds. Watch for daily CWA updates and new model outputs through April 5, as proximity to resolution amplifies volatility in this urban heat-influenced locale where historical April peaks average 24–26°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問