The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a high of up to 26°C in Taipei on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers, driving trader consensus toward closely bunched mid-20s outcomes amid inherent short-term uncertainty. A passing frontal system introduces moisture and cloud cover through the weekend, suppressing solar heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 24-26°C at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source. Model consensus from CWA and global ensembles like GFS shows tight spreads, but variable precipitation intensity and breaks in clouds could tip toward 27°C or dip to 25°C; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refinements as upper-air patterns evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
26°C 23%
27°C 21%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
22°C or below
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
10%
25°C
17%
26°C
22%
27°C
21%
28°C
16%
29°C
13%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 23%
27°C 21%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
22°C or below
$97 Vol.
3%
23°C
$34 Vol.
9%
24°C
$118 Vol.
10%
25°C
$55 Vol.
17%
26°C
$39 Vol.
22%
27°C
$73 Vol.
21%
28°C
$68 Vol.
16%
29°C
$42 Vol.
13%
30°C
$38 Vol.
8%
31°C
$106 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$329 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a high of up to 26°C in Taipei on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers, driving trader consensus toward closely bunched mid-20s outcomes amid inherent short-term uncertainty. A passing frontal system introduces moisture and cloud cover through the weekend, suppressing solar heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 24-26°C at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source. Model consensus from CWA and global ensembles like GFS shows tight spreads, but variable precipitation intensity and breaks in clouds could tip toward 27°C or dip to 25°C; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refinements as upper-air patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
音量
$999終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a high of up to 26°C in Taipei on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers, driving trader consensus toward closely bunched mid-20s outcomes amid inherent short-term uncertainty. A passing frontal system introduces moisture and cloud cover through the weekend, suppressing solar heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 24-26°C at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source. Model consensus from CWA and global ensembles like GFS shows tight spreads, but variable precipitation intensity and breaks in clouds could tip toward 27°C or dip to 25°C; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refinements as upper-air patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$999終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThe Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a high of up to 26°C in Taipei on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers, driving trader consensus toward closely bunched mid-20s outcomes amid inherent short-term uncertainty. A passing frontal system introduces moisture and cloud cover through the weekend, suppressing solar heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, consistent with early April climatology where highs average 24-26°C at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source. Model consensus from CWA and global ensembles like GFS shows tight spreads, but variable precipitation intensity and breaks in clouds could tip toward 27°C or dip to 25°C; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refinements as upper-air patterns evolve.
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