Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 22°C in Tokyo on April 6, driving trader consensus toward mild spring conditions with 23°C or higher at 25.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C (16.5%) and 21°C (14.5%). This reflects ensemble model agreement on a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region fostering above-average warmth—historical early April highs average 18°C—but with uncertainty from potential frontal passages or cloud cover that could cap peaks at 20-21°C or dip lower. Recent patchy rain on April 1 kept temperatures near 15°C, highlighting daily variability amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Traders await JMA's next update on April 3 for refined guidance on cloudiness and wind patterns influencing urban heat island effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 6?
21°C 15%
19°C 14%
23°C or higher 12%
22°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
13°C or below
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
6%
17°C
7%
18°C
6%
19°C
14%
20°C
10%
21°C
15%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
12%
21°C 15%
19°C 14%
23°C or higher 12%
22°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
13°C or below
$240 Vol.
1%
14°C
$42 Vol.
4%
15°C
$15 Vol.
6%
16°C
$11 Vol.
6%
17°C
$1 Vol.
7%
18°C
$11 Vol.
6%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$4 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
11%
23°C or higher
$7 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 22°C in Tokyo on April 6, driving trader consensus toward mild spring conditions with 23°C or higher at 25.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C (16.5%) and 21°C (14.5%). This reflects ensemble model agreement on a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region fostering above-average warmth—historical early April highs average 18°C—but with uncertainty from potential frontal passages or cloud cover that could cap peaks at 20-21°C or dip lower. Recent patchy rain on April 1 kept temperatures near 15°C, highlighting daily variability amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Traders await JMA's next update on April 3 for refined guidance on cloudiness and wind patterns influencing urban heat island effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
音量
$332終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 22°C in Tokyo on April 6, driving trader consensus toward mild spring conditions with 23°C or higher at 25.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C (16.5%) and 21°C (14.5%). This reflects ensemble model agreement on a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region fostering above-average warmth—historical early April highs average 18°C—but with uncertainty from potential frontal passages or cloud cover that could cap peaks at 20-21°C or dip lower. Recent patchy rain on April 1 kept temperatures near 15°C, highlighting daily variability amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Traders await JMA's next update on April 3 for refined guidance on cloudiness and wind patterns influencing urban heat island effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$332終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a high of 22°C in Tokyo on April 6, driving trader consensus toward mild spring conditions with 23°C or higher at 25.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C (16.5%) and 21°C (14.5%). This reflects ensemble model agreement on a high-pressure ridge over the Kanto region fostering above-average warmth—historical early April highs average 18°C—but with uncertainty from potential frontal passages or cloud cover that could cap peaks at 20-21°C or dip lower. Recent patchy rain on April 1 kept temperatures near 15°C, highlighting daily variability amid ENSO-neutral conditions. Traders await JMA's next update on April 3 for refined guidance on cloudiness and wind patterns influencing urban heat island effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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