Latest forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network indicate a high near 4-7°C for Toronto on April 6, following a sharp warmup to 21°C on April 3 after a record-cold April start in eastern Canada, with cloudy conditions and 40% chance of flurries persisting into Monday. Trader sentiment reflects this volatility, with market-implied probabilities tied at 25.5% for ≤0°C, 9°C, and ≥10°C, capturing genuine uncertainty in model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF over the jet stream's position and post-frontal cooling strength amid early-spring fluctuations. Historical April highs average 10°C near Pearson Airport, but divergent steering patterns could tip outcomes; watch for updated agency guidance by April 4.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
10°C or higher 26%
4°C 18%
6°C 18%
5°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
0°C or below
12%
1°C
11%
2°C
14%
3°C
16%
4°C
18%
5°C
18%
6°C
18%
7°C
17%
8°C
17%
9°C
12%
10°C or higher
26%
10°C or higher 26%
4°C 18%
6°C 18%
5°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
0°C or below
$5 Vol.
12%
1°C
$0 Vol.
11%
2°C
$0 Vol.
14%
3°C
$0 Vol.
16%
4°C
$0 Vol.
18%
5°C
$0 Vol.
18%
6°C
$0 Vol.
18%
7°C
$0 Vol.
17%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9°C
$0 Vol.
12%
10°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network indicate a high near 4-7°C for Toronto on April 6, following a sharp warmup to 21°C on April 3 after a record-cold April start in eastern Canada, with cloudy conditions and 40% chance of flurries persisting into Monday. Trader sentiment reflects this volatility, with market-implied probabilities tied at 25.5% for ≤0°C, 9°C, and ≥10°C, capturing genuine uncertainty in model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF over the jet stream's position and post-frontal cooling strength amid early-spring fluctuations. Historical April highs average 10°C near Pearson Airport, but divergent steering patterns could tip outcomes; watch for updated agency guidance by April 4.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network indicate a high near 4-7°C for Toronto on April 6, following a sharp warmup to 21°C on April 3 after a record-cold April start in eastern Canada, with cloudy conditions and 40% chance of flurries persisting into Monday. Trader sentiment reflects this volatility, with market-implied probabilities tied at 25.5% for ≤0°C, 9°C, and ≥10°C, capturing genuine uncertainty in model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF over the jet stream's position and post-frontal cooling strength amid early-spring fluctuations. Historical April highs average 10°C near Pearson Airport, but divergent steering patterns could tip outcomes; watch for updated agency guidance by April 4.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network indicate a high near 4-7°C for Toronto on April 6, following a sharp warmup to 21°C on April 3 after a record-cold April start in eastern Canada, with cloudy conditions and 40% chance of flurries persisting into Monday. Trader sentiment reflects this volatility, with market-implied probabilities tied at 25.5% for ≤0°C, 9°C, and ≥10°C, capturing genuine uncertainty in model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF over the jet stream's position and post-frontal cooling strength amid early-spring fluctuations. Historical April highs average 10°C near Pearson Airport, but divergent steering patterns could tip outcomes; watch for updated agency guidance by April 4.
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