MetService's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of showers, driving trader sentiment toward mid-range outcomes like 18–19°C at around 25% implied probability each. However, closely matched odds for 13°C or below (25.5%) and 23°C or higher (25.5%) reflect inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover and moisture in cool maritime easterlies, which could suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation or allow warming if showers clear early. NIWA guidance leans slightly warmer at 21°C, while historical April highs average 17°C with notable day-to-day swings from frontal influences. Watch daily model updates from GFS and ECMWF through April 5 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 6?
23°C or higher 20%
19°C 18%
21°C 15%
20°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
13°C or below
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
18%
20°C
14%
21°C
15%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
20%
23°C or higher 20%
19°C 18%
21°C 15%
20°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
13°C or below
$223 Vol.
1%
14°C
$13 Vol.
4%
15°C
$9 Vol.
4%
16°C
$5 Vol.
4%
17°C
$1 Vol.
7%
18°C
$21 Vol.
10%
19°C
$30 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$93 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$2 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of showers, driving trader sentiment toward mid-range outcomes like 18–19°C at around 25% implied probability each. However, closely matched odds for 13°C or below (25.5%) and 23°C or higher (25.5%) reflect inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover and moisture in cool maritime easterlies, which could suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation or allow warming if showers clear early. NIWA guidance leans slightly warmer at 21°C, while historical April highs average 17°C with notable day-to-day swings from frontal influences. Watch daily model updates from GFS and ECMWF through April 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$396終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of showers, driving trader sentiment toward mid-range outcomes like 18–19°C at around 25% implied probability each. However, closely matched odds for 13°C or below (25.5%) and 23°C or higher (25.5%) reflect inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover and moisture in cool maritime easterlies, which could suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation or allow warming if showers clear early. NIWA guidance leans slightly warmer at 21°C, while historical April highs average 17°C with notable day-to-day swings from frontal influences. Watch daily model updates from GFS and ECMWF through April 5 for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$396終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETMetService's latest forecast, issued April 2, projects a 19°C high for Wellington on April 6 under partly cloudy skies with easterly winds and a 20% chance of showers, driving trader sentiment toward mid-range outcomes like 18–19°C at around 25% implied probability each. However, closely matched odds for 13°C or below (25.5%) and 23°C or higher (25.5%) reflect inherent short-range uncertainty from variable cloud cover and moisture in cool maritime easterlies, which could suppress daytime heating via reduced insolation or allow warming if showers clear early. NIWA guidance leans slightly warmer at 21°C, while historical April highs average 17°C with notable day-to-day swings from frontal influences. Watch daily model updates from GFS and ECMWF through April 5 for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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