MetService's latest extended forecast projects a 17°C high for Wellington on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with southeasterlies developing, chance of evening showers, and a high-pressure ridge maintaining mild autumn conditions after recent fine days with 19°C highs. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on above-average temperatures (per NIWA's seasonal outlook, 40% chance amid neutral ENSO transition) but uncertainty from cloud cover variability and wind shifts that could suppress peaks below 18°C or allow brief northerly warming to 19°C. Daily updates from MetService through April 4 will refine guidance ahead of resolution at Kelburn observatory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
18°C 25%
17°C 24%
19°C 23%
16°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
11℃以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
13%
17°C
24%
18°C
25%
19°C
23%
20°C
15%
21°C or higher
8%
18°C 25%
17°C 24%
19°C 23%
16°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
11℃以下
$186 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$555 Vol.
1%
14°C
$42 Vol.
4%
15°C
$32 Vol.
6%
16°C
$49 Vol.
13%
17°C
$56 Vol.
24%
18°C
$65 Vol.
25%
19°C
$130 Vol.
23%
20°C
$54 Vol.
15%
21°C or higher
$189 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest extended forecast projects a 17°C high for Wellington on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with southeasterlies developing, chance of evening showers, and a high-pressure ridge maintaining mild autumn conditions after recent fine days with 19°C highs. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on above-average temperatures (per NIWA's seasonal outlook, 40% chance amid neutral ENSO transition) but uncertainty from cloud cover variability and wind shifts that could suppress peaks below 18°C or allow brief northerly warming to 19°C. Daily updates from MetService through April 4 will refine guidance ahead of resolution at Kelburn observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$1,904終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest extended forecast projects a 17°C high for Wellington on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with southeasterlies developing, chance of evening showers, and a high-pressure ridge maintaining mild autumn conditions after recent fine days with 19°C highs. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on above-average temperatures (per NIWA's seasonal outlook, 40% chance amid neutral ENSO transition) but uncertainty from cloud cover variability and wind shifts that could suppress peaks below 18°C or allow brief northerly warming to 19°C. Daily updates from MetService through April 4 will refine guidance ahead of resolution at Kelburn observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,904終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETMetService's latest extended forecast projects a 17°C high for Wellington on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with southeasterlies developing, chance of evening showers, and a high-pressure ridge maintaining mild autumn conditions after recent fine days with 19°C highs. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 17–19°C outcomes, reflecting model agreement on above-average temperatures (per NIWA's seasonal outlook, 40% chance amid neutral ENSO transition) but uncertainty from cloud cover variability and wind shifts that could suppress peaks below 18°C or allow brief northerly warming to 19°C. Daily updates from MetService through April 4 will refine guidance ahead of resolution at Kelburn observatory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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