Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by an approaching Western Disturbance forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to bring light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover over northwest India from April 2-5, potentially capping daytime highs at 33-34°C via reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show clear skies and rising maxima to 37°C on April 1 amid dry conditions, while IMD's latest local outlook points to 38°C, aligning with early-April historical averages of 35-37°C. Bets on 43°C or higher stem from seasonal predictions of above-normal heatwaves and rapid warming potential if the disturbance misses Lucknow. Key differentiator: disturbance trajectory, with IMD's daily updates expected to sharpen model consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
35°C 30%
33°C or below 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
33°C or below
28%
34°C
26%
35°C
24%
36°C
12%
37°C
12%
38°C
10%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C or higher
1%
35°C 30%
33°C or below 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
33°C or below
$1 Vol.
28%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$7 Vol.
24%
36°C
$0 Vol.
12%
37°C
$0 Vol.
12%
38°C
$0 Vol.
10%
39°C
$160 Vol.
1%
40°C
$145 Vol.
1%
41°C
$145 Vol.
1%
42°C
$220 Vol.
1%
43°C or higher
$145 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by an approaching Western Disturbance forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to bring light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover over northwest India from April 2-5, potentially capping daytime highs at 33-34°C via reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show clear skies and rising maxima to 37°C on April 1 amid dry conditions, while IMD's latest local outlook points to 38°C, aligning with early-April historical averages of 35-37°C. Bets on 43°C or higher stem from seasonal predictions of above-normal heatwaves and rapid warming potential if the disturbance misses Lucknow. Key differentiator: disturbance trajectory, with IMD's daily updates expected to sharpen model consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$823終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by an approaching Western Disturbance forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to bring light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover over northwest India from April 2-5, potentially capping daytime highs at 33-34°C via reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show clear skies and rising maxima to 37°C on April 1 amid dry conditions, while IMD's latest local outlook points to 38°C, aligning with early-April historical averages of 35-37°C. Bets on 43°C or higher stem from seasonal predictions of above-normal heatwaves and rapid warming potential if the disturbance misses Lucknow. Key differentiator: disturbance trajectory, with IMD's daily updates expected to sharpen model consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$823終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by an approaching Western Disturbance forecast by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to bring light to moderate precipitation and cloud cover over northwest India from April 2-5, potentially capping daytime highs at 33-34°C via reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show clear skies and rising maxima to 37°C on April 1 amid dry conditions, while IMD's latest local outlook points to 38°C, aligning with early-April historical averages of 35-37°C. Bets on 43°C or higher stem from seasonal predictions of above-normal heatwaves and rapid warming potential if the disturbance misses Lucknow. Key differentiator: disturbance trajectory, with IMD's daily updates expected to sharpen model consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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