The Central Weather Administration's latest forecasts peg Taipei's April 1 high at 22°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms from an approaching frontal system, driving a sharp drop from recent highs of 28–29°C on March 30–31. Trader consensus, with 21°C (30.5%) edging 20°C (28.0%), reflects model spread where cloud cover and precipitation could suppress peaks by 1–2°C, while drier scenarios favor 22–23°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing, southerly wind persistence versus cooler northeasterlies, and urban heat effects at official stations. New hourly updates and observations expected within 24 hours may refine this tight race amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
21°C 38%
20°C 28%
23°C 21%
22°C 16%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
6%
18°C
12%
19°C
15%
20°C
28%
21°C
31%
22°C
16%
23°C
21%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
11%
21°C 38%
20°C 28%
23°C 21%
22°C 16%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
6%
18°C
12%
19°C
15%
20°C
28%
21°C
31%
22°C
16%
23°C
21%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecasts peg Taipei's April 1 high at 22°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms from an approaching frontal system, driving a sharp drop from recent highs of 28–29°C on March 30–31. Trader consensus, with 21°C (30.5%) edging 20°C (28.0%), reflects model spread where cloud cover and precipitation could suppress peaks by 1–2°C, while drier scenarios favor 22–23°C. Key differentiators include frontal timing, southerly wind persistence versus cooler northeasterlies, and urban heat effects at official stations. New hourly updates and observations expected within 24 hours may refine this tight race amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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