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Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

33°C or higher 29%

26°C 28%

25°C 21%

24°C 17%

Polymarket
NEW

33°C or higher 29%

26°C 28%

25°C 21%

24°C 17%

Polymarket
NEW

23°C or below

$0 Vol.

13%

24°C

$0 Vol.

17%

25°C

$0 Vol.

21%

26°C

$0 Vol.

28%

27°C

$0 Vol.

16%

28°C

$0 Vol.

10%

29°C

$0 Vol.

10%

30°C

$0 Vol.

9%

31°C

$0 Vol.

14%

32°C

$31 Vol.

12%

33°C or higher

$10 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Taipei's highest temperature on April 3, with 33°C or higher leading at 38% implied probability amid a split between 26°C (28%) and cooler outcomes around 24-25°C, driven by conflicting short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA). The CWA's latest March 30 update forecasts daytime highs of 19-25°C under cloudy skies with showers as a frontal system approaches northern Taiwan ahead of the Tomb-Sweeping holiday (April 3-6), capping intensity via increased cloud cover and moisture following recent cooling (e.g., 19°C high on March 26). However, lingering warmth from March highs near 29°C and potential high-pressure ridge persistence if the front weakens support hotter scenarios, consistent with April climatology where highs average 24°C but occasionally surpass 30°C due to subtropical steering patterns. New CWA and global model runs (ECMWF, GFS) expected daily could shift odds as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Taipei's highest temperature on April 3, with 33°C or higher leading at 38% implied probability amid a split between 26°C (28%) and cooler outcomes around 24-25°C, driven by conflicting short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA). The CWA's latest March 30 update forecasts daytime highs of 19-25°C under cloudy skies with showers as a frontal system approaches northern Taiwan ahead of the Tomb-Sweeping holiday (April 3-6), capping intensity via increased cloud cover and moisture following recent cooling (e.g., 19°C high on March 26). However, lingering warmth from March highs near 29°C and potential high-pressure ridge persistence if the front weakens support hotter scenarios, consistent with April climatology where highs average 24°C but occasionally surpass 30°C due to subtropical steering patterns. New CWA and global model runs (ECMWF, GFS) expected daily could shift odds as resolution nears.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Taipei's highest temperature on April 3, with 33°C or higher leading at 38% implied probability amid a split between 26°C (28%) and cooler outcomes around 24-25°C, driven by conflicting short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA). The CWA's latest March 30 update forecasts daytime highs of 19-25°C under cloudy skies with showers as a frontal system approaches northern Taiwan ahead of the Tomb-Sweeping holiday (April 3-6), capping intensity via increased cloud cover and moisture following recent cooling (e.g., 19°C high on March 26). However, lingering warmth from March highs near 29°C and potential high-pressure ridge persistence if the front weakens support hotter scenarios, consistent with April climatology where highs average 24°C but occasionally surpass 30°C due to subtropical steering patterns. New CWA and global model runs (ECMWF, GFS) expected daily could shift odds as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Taipei's highest temperature on April 3, with 33°C or higher leading at 38% implied probability amid a split between 26°C (28%) and cooler outcomes around 24-25°C, driven by conflicting short-range forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA). The CWA's latest March 30 update forecasts daytime highs of 19-25°C under cloudy skies with showers as a frontal system approaches northern Taiwan ahead of the Tomb-Sweeping holiday (April 3-6), capping intensity via increased cloud cover and moisture following recent cooling (e.g., 19°C high on March 26). However, lingering warmth from March highs near 29°C and potential high-pressure ridge persistence if the front weakens support hotter scenarios, consistent with April climatology where highs average 24°C but occasionally surpass 30°C due to subtropical steering patterns. New CWA and global model runs (ECMWF, GFS) expected daily could shift odds as resolution nears.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「26°C」で28%、次いで「33°C or higher」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 29, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?」の現在のフロントランナーは「26°C」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「33°C or higher」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。