The National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest 4-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 1 amid afternoon thundery showers, yet trader consensus favors 32°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting historical patterns where convective showers during Singapore's inter-monsoon period often suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent late-March 2026 trends show warmer, drier conditions with highs nearing 34°C, transitioning into April's typical equatorial humidity and sea breeze-driven instability. Climatological averages hover around 31°C for April highs, but urban heat island effects add 1–2°C; upcoming NEA updates twice daily could refine model consensus on shower timing and intensity, key to resolution at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on April 1?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 1?
32°C 48%
33°C 25%
31°C 24%
34°C 3.3%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
24%
32°C
48%
33°C
25%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
33°C 25%
31°C 24%
34°C 3.3%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
24%
32°C
48%
33°C
25%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest 4-day forecast, updated March 30, projects a maximum temperature of 34°C on April 1 amid afternoon thundery showers, yet trader consensus favors 32°C at 44% implied probability, reflecting historical patterns where convective showers during Singapore's inter-monsoon period often suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Recent late-March 2026 trends show warmer, drier conditions with highs nearing 34°C, transitioning into April's typical equatorial humidity and sea breeze-driven instability. Climatological averages hover around 31°C for April highs, but urban heat island effects add 1–2°C; upcoming NEA updates twice daily could refine model consensus on shower timing and intensity, key to resolution at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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