Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts project Tokyo's highest temperature on March 30 at around 21°C under cloudy skies turning partly sunny with 20% precipitation odds, yet trader consensus favors 19°C (54% implied probability) and 20°C (34.5%) due to morning observations starting near the seasonal minimum of 12°C and persistent cloud cover likely capping peaks amid light breezes. This positioning reflects springtime southerly air flows elevating readings above the daily normal maximum of 16.7°C—following yesterday's 18°C high—but with model ensembles showing tight uncertainty around 19-20°C from conservative cloud suppression effects. Real-time data from central Tokyo stations will refine outcomes as afternoon heating peaks, potentially shifting odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?
19°C 68%
20°C 33%
21°C 3.5%
22°C or higher 1.0%
$75,241 Vol.
$75,241 Vol.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
68%
20°C
33%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 68%
20°C 33%
21°C 3.5%
22°C or higher 1.0%
$75,241 Vol.
$75,241 Vol.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
68%
20°C
33%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecasts project Tokyo's highest temperature on March 30 at around 21°C under cloudy skies turning partly sunny with 20% precipitation odds, yet trader consensus favors 19°C (54% implied probability) and 20°C (34.5%) due to morning observations starting near the seasonal minimum of 12°C and persistent cloud cover likely capping peaks amid light breezes. This positioning reflects springtime southerly air flows elevating readings above the daily normal maximum of 16.7°C—following yesterday's 18°C high—but with model ensembles showing tight uncertainty around 19-20°C from conservative cloud suppression effects. Real-time data from central Tokyo stations will refine outcomes as afternoon heating peaks, potentially shifting odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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