Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.5% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on March 30, driven by the Meteorological Service Singapore's (MSS) latest 24-hour forecast of a 34°C maximum tempered by expected afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas. These short-duration convective events, common during the inter-monsoon transition in late March, frequently cap peak temperatures through cloud cover and downdrafts, as seen in yesterday's 33°C high at Sembawang amid similar conditions. The fortnightly outlook anticipates warmer days nearing 35°C in the final week with reduced rainfall, but model ensembles and recent observations—first half March highs averaged 34°C—highlight uncertainty from sea breeze convergence and urban heat island effects. Updated hourly forecasts and station data throughout the day will refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on March 30?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 30?
32°C 51%
31°C 22%
33°C 14%
30°C 2.1%
$16,482 Vol.
$16,482 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
22%
32°C
51%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 51%
31°C 22%
33°C 14%
30°C 2.1%
$16,482 Vol.
$16,482 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
22%
32°C
51%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.5% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on March 30, driven by the Meteorological Service Singapore's (MSS) latest 24-hour forecast of a 34°C maximum tempered by expected afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas. These short-duration convective events, common during the inter-monsoon transition in late March, frequently cap peak temperatures through cloud cover and downdrafts, as seen in yesterday's 33°C high at Sembawang amid similar conditions. The fortnightly outlook anticipates warmer days nearing 35°C in the final week with reduced rainfall, but model ensembles and recent observations—first half March highs averaged 34°C—highlight uncertainty from sea breeze convergence and urban heat island effects. Updated hourly forecasts and station data throughout the day will refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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