Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau project a high temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on April 5, driving trader consensus toward outcomes between 24–27°C amid a tight race. This reflects model spread due to uncertain cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms, which could cap peaks at 25–26°C via shading and evaporative cooling, or permit 27°C under clearer subtropical high-pressure ridges and light sea breezes. Historical early-April highs average 25–26°C in Shenzhen's humid monsoon climate, with diurnal ranges of 5–6°C. Daily model updates and bureau advisories through April 4 will refine probabilities as resolution nears via official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
27°C 25%
26°C 19%
25°C 18%
24°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
20°C or below
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
12%
24°C
16%
25°C
18%
26°C
19%
27°C
25%
28°C
14%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 25%
26°C 19%
25°C 18%
24°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau project a high temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on April 5, driving trader consensus toward outcomes between 24–27°C amid a tight race. This reflects model spread due to uncertain cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms, which could cap peaks at 25–26°C via shading and evaporative cooling, or permit 27°C under clearer subtropical high-pressure ridges and light sea breezes. Historical early-April highs average 25–26°C in Shenzhen's humid monsoon climate, with diurnal ranges of 5–6°C. Daily model updates and bureau advisories through April 4 will refine probabilities as resolution nears via official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau project a high temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on April 5, driving trader consensus toward outcomes between 24–27°C amid a tight race. This reflects model spread due to uncertain cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms, which could cap peaks at 25–26°C via shading and evaporative cooling, or permit 27°C under clearer subtropical high-pressure ridges and light sea breezes. Historical early-April highs average 25–26°C in Shenzhen's humid monsoon climate, with diurnal ranges of 5–6°C. Daily model updates and bureau advisories through April 4 will refine probabilities as resolution nears via official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau project a high temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on April 5, driving trader consensus toward outcomes between 24–27°C amid a tight race. This reflects model spread due to uncertain cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms, which could cap peaks at 25–26°C via shading and evaporative cooling, or permit 27°C under clearer subtropical high-pressure ridges and light sea breezes. Historical early-April highs average 25–26°C in Shenzhen's humid monsoon climate, with diurnal ranges of 5–6°C. Daily model updates and bureau advisories through April 4 will refine probabilities as resolution nears via official station measurements.
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