Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustering around 23–26°C amid a 26% chance for 27°C or higher, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 24°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance shows early April warming, as seen in April 1's projected 26°C fine conditions, but persistent light southerly flows and potential cloud cover from frontal remnants introduce variability in solar insolation and daytime heating. Historical April averages of 23°C provide baseline context, while model spread of 3–5°C underscores risks of showers capping peaks or ridge amplification pushing extremes higher; watch daily 00Z updates for shifts ahead of resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
27°C or higher 26%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
22°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
17°C or below
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
15%
20°C
16%
21°C
17%
22°C
18%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
18%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
26%
27°C or higher 26%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
22°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustering around 23–26°C amid a 26% chance for 27°C or higher, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 24°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance shows early April warming, as seen in April 1's projected 26°C fine conditions, but persistent light southerly flows and potential cloud cover from frontal remnants introduce variability in solar insolation and daytime heating. Historical April averages of 23°C provide baseline context, while model spread of 3–5°C underscores risks of showers capping peaks or ridge amplification pushing extremes higher; watch daily 00Z updates for shifts ahead of resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
音量
$5終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustering around 23–26°C amid a 26% chance for 27°C or higher, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 24°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance shows early April warming, as seen in April 1's projected 26°C fine conditions, but persistent light southerly flows and potential cloud cover from frontal remnants introduce variability in solar insolation and daytime heating. Historical April averages of 23°C provide baseline context, while model spread of 3–5°C underscores risks of showers capping peaks or ridge amplification pushing extremes higher; watch daily 00Z updates for shifts ahead of resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects significant uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities clustering around 23–26°C amid a 26% chance for 27°C or higher, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 24°C. Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance shows early April warming, as seen in April 1's projected 26°C fine conditions, but persistent light southerly flows and potential cloud cover from frontal remnants introduce variability in solar insolation and daytime heating. Historical April averages of 23°C provide baseline context, while model spread of 3–5°C underscores risks of showers capping peaks or ridge amplification pushing extremes higher; watch daily 00Z updates for shifts ahead of resolution at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport.
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