Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 31 at 09:50 HKT, projects a maximum air temperature of up to 28°C on April 1 amid mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, east-northeast winds at force 3-4, and 65-90% rain probability, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 31% implied probability. Close competition from 27°C (27%) and 25°C (26%) reflects forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and shower timing, which could limit solar heating or allow sunny intervals for higher peaks; recent observations show morning temperatures near 26°C today under similar setup. Above-normal spring temperatures from seasonal outlooks add warmth baseline, with next HKO updates at midday and evening key for refinement before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
28°C 30%
27°C 27%
25°C 24.9%
26°C 15%
新規
$22,609 Vol.
新規
$22,609 Vol.
2026/04/01
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
25%
26°C
15%
27°C
27%
28°C
30%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
5%
28°C 30%
27°C 27%
25°C 24.9%
26°C 15%
新規
$22,609 Vol.
新規
$22,609 Vol.
2026/04/01
20°C or below
$5,051 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,886 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,459 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,990 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,432 Vol.
2%
25°C
$891 Vol.
25%
26°C
$1,165 Vol.
15%
27°C
$917 Vol.
27%
28°C
$953 Vol.
30%
29°C
$810 Vol.
8%
30°C or higher
$1,123 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 31 at 09:50 HKT, projects a maximum air temperature of up to 28°C on April 1 amid mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, east-northeast winds at force 3-4, and 65-90% rain probability, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 31% implied probability. Close competition from 27°C (27%) and 25°C (26%) reflects forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and shower timing, which could limit solar heating or allow sunny intervals for higher peaks; recent observations show morning temperatures near 26°C today under similar setup. Above-normal spring temperatures from seasonal outlooks add warmth baseline, with next HKO updates at midday and evening key for refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
音量
$22,609終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 31 at 09:50 HKT, projects a maximum air temperature of up to 28°C on April 1 amid mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, east-northeast winds at force 3-4, and 65-90% rain probability, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 31% implied probability. Close competition from 27°C (27%) and 25°C (26%) reflects forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and shower timing, which could limit solar heating or allow sunny intervals for higher peaks; recent observations show morning temperatures near 26°C today under similar setup. Above-normal spring temperatures from seasonal outlooks add warmth baseline, with next HKO updates at midday and evening key for refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$22,609終了日
2026/04/01マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated March 31 at 09:50 HKT, projects a maximum air temperature of up to 28°C on April 1 amid mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, east-northeast winds at force 3-4, and 65-90% rain probability, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 31% implied probability. Close competition from 27°C (27%) and 25°C (26%) reflects forecast uncertainty from variable cloud cover and shower timing, which could limit solar heating or allow sunny intervals for higher peaks; recent observations show morning temperatures near 26°C today under similar setup. Above-normal spring temperatures from seasonal outlooks add warmth baseline, with next HKO updates at midday and evening key for refinement before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問