Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for a 30°C high in São Paulo today, closely followed by 29°C at 32.5% and 28°C at 21%, reflecting latest forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Climatempo indicating partly sunny mornings transitioning to afternoon showers that could cap peaks. Climatempo's hourly outlook projects temperatures climbing to 30°C by early afternoon amid 53% rain chances and 5 mm accumulation, consistent with isolated convective activity in the Southeast region noted in INMET's March 23–30 bulletin. Late-March climatology averages 27–28°C maxima at São Paulo–Guarulhos Airport, but urban heat island effects and high pressure support mild warmth; real-time observations this morning and updated models will refine outcomes before evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月30日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
3月30日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
30°C 44%
29°C 28%
28°C 12%
31°C 5%
$16,733 Vol.
$16,733 Vol.
24°C以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27℃
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
28%
30°C
44%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34℃以上
1%
30°C 44%
29°C 28%
28°C 12%
31°C 5%
$16,733 Vol.
$16,733 Vol.
24°C以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27℃
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
28%
30°C
44%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43.5% implied probability for a 30°C high in São Paulo today, closely followed by 29°C at 32.5% and 28°C at 21%, reflecting latest forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and Climatempo indicating partly sunny mornings transitioning to afternoon showers that could cap peaks. Climatempo's hourly outlook projects temperatures climbing to 30°C by early afternoon amid 53% rain chances and 5 mm accumulation, consistent with isolated convective activity in the Southeast region noted in INMET's March 23–30 bulletin. Late-March climatology averages 27–28°C maxima at São Paulo–Guarulhos Airport, but urban heat island effects and high pressure support mild warmth; real-time observations this morning and updated models will refine outcomes before evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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