National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 85°F in Dallas on March 30 under mostly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds, fueling trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for 84-85°F leading closely followed by adjacent bins. This rapid warm-up follows March 28's observed peak around 88°F amid variable patterns, including earlier record-shattering 95°F on March 23, as an upper-level ridge builds subsidence and dry air aloft to boost daytime heating well above the 73°F climatological normal. Differentiating factors include model spreads—GFS and ECMWF varying by 2-3°F on peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing from wind shear—with thin high clouds or front timing as key uncertainties; evening forecast updates may refine odds before resolution at KDFW observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 30?
84-85°F 31%
82-83°F 26.6%
86-87°F 20.1%
80-81°F 8%
79°F or below
4%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 31%
82-83°F 26.6%
86-87°F 20.1%
80-81°F 8%
79°F or below
4%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
31%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 85°F in Dallas on March 30 under mostly sunny skies and breezy southerly winds, fueling trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for 84-85°F leading closely followed by adjacent bins. This rapid warm-up follows March 28's observed peak around 88°F amid variable patterns, including earlier record-shattering 95°F on March 23, as an upper-level ridge builds subsidence and dry air aloft to boost daytime heating well above the 73°F climatological normal. Differentiating factors include model spreads—GFS and ECMWF varying by 2-3°F on peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing from wind shear—with thin high clouds or front timing as key uncertainties; evening forecast updates may refine odds before resolution at KDFW observations.
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