Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 84-85°F as the leading outcome at 47.5% for Houston's highest temperature on March 30, closely tracking National Weather Service point forecasts calling for highs near 84°F amid mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and clear conditions for maximum solar insolation, continuing an above-normal March warm spell where recent days logged highs in the low-to-mid 80s versus the 76°F climatological average. Overnight GFS and ECMWF model runs reinforce this consensus in the 82-86°F range with minimal spread, though morning patchy fog or stray clouds introduce uncertainty that could nudge peaks toward 82-83°F or 86°F+. Real-time observations from Houston Hobby or Intercontinental airports will refine probabilities through afternoon updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 30?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 16%
86°F or higher 10%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
44%
86°F or higher
17%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 41%
80-81°F 16%
86°F or higher 10%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
44%
86°F or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 2:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 84-85°F as the leading outcome at 47.5% for Houston's highest temperature on March 30, closely tracking National Weather Service point forecasts calling for highs near 84°F amid mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and clear conditions for maximum solar insolation, continuing an above-normal March warm spell where recent days logged highs in the low-to-mid 80s versus the 76°F climatological average. Overnight GFS and ECMWF model runs reinforce this consensus in the 82-86°F range with minimal spread, though morning patchy fog or stray clouds introduce uncertainty that could nudge peaks toward 82-83°F or 86°F+. Real-time observations from Houston Hobby or Intercontinental airports will refine probabilities through afternoon updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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