Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and divergent global models for Houston's highest temperature on April 2, with GFS ensembles leaning toward 82-85°F under stronger upper-level ridging, while ECMWF shows cooler 76-80°F outcomes due to increased mid-week cloudiness and thunderstorms ahead of a weekend front. Recent developments include a cool front last weekend dropping overnight lows to the upper 50s, followed by a rebound to Monday highs near 84°F amid mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds, aligning with above-normal March patterns. Key differentiators are timing of precipitation probabilities (20-40%) and exact ridge amplification; normal early April highs at Bush Intercontinental Airport hover around 79°F. Watch 12Z model updates and NWS Houston advisories for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 2?
80-81°F 30%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
12%
88°F or higher
11%
80-81°F 30%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 17%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
69°F or below
$266 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$262 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$1 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$2 Vol.
30%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$1 Vol.
12%
88°F or higher
$5 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and divergent global models for Houston's highest temperature on April 2, with GFS ensembles leaning toward 82-85°F under stronger upper-level ridging, while ECMWF shows cooler 76-80°F outcomes due to increased mid-week cloudiness and thunderstorms ahead of a weekend front. Recent developments include a cool front last weekend dropping overnight lows to the upper 50s, followed by a rebound to Monday highs near 84°F amid mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds, aligning with above-normal March patterns. Key differentiators are timing of precipitation probabilities (20-40%) and exact ridge amplification; normal early April highs at Bush Intercontinental Airport hover around 79°F. Watch 12Z model updates and NWS Houston advisories for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
音量
$553終了日
Apr 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and divergent global models for Houston's highest temperature on April 2, with GFS ensembles leaning toward 82-85°F under stronger upper-level ridging, while ECMWF shows cooler 76-80°F outcomes due to increased mid-week cloudiness and thunderstorms ahead of a weekend front. Recent developments include a cool front last weekend dropping overnight lows to the upper 50s, followed by a rebound to Monday highs near 84°F amid mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds, aligning with above-normal March patterns. Key differentiators are timing of precipitation probabilities (20-40%) and exact ridge amplification; normal early April highs at Bush Intercontinental Airport hover around 79°F. Watch 12Z model updates and NWS Houston advisories for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$553終了日
Apr 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts and divergent global models for Houston's highest temperature on April 2, with GFS ensembles leaning toward 82-85°F under stronger upper-level ridging, while ECMWF shows cooler 76-80°F outcomes due to increased mid-week cloudiness and thunderstorms ahead of a weekend front. Recent developments include a cool front last weekend dropping overnight lows to the upper 50s, followed by a rebound to Monday highs near 84°F amid mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds, aligning with above-normal March patterns. Key differentiators are timing of precipitation probabilities (20-40%) and exact ridge amplification; normal early April highs at Bush Intercontinental Airport hover around 79°F. Watch 12Z model updates and NWS Houston advisories for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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