Current short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate mild spring conditions for Istanbul on April 5, with implied daytime highs clustering around 14-17°C (57-63°F), aligning with climatological norms for early April where daily maximums typically rise from 13°C to 16°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating Black Sea influences. Recent observations through late March show above-average warmth, peaking near 19°C, but no significant anomalies like heat domes or cold outbreaks have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift model consensus. Traders should monitor daily updates from official agencies, as southerly flows could elevate temperatures toward historical outliers above 20°C, though uncertainty remains high in ensemble spreads ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 5?
10°C or below 26%
20°C or higher 25%
12°C 18%
11°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
10°C or below
26%
11°C
17%
12°C
18%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C
15%
17°C
14%
18°C
12%
19°C
11%
20°C or higher
25%
10°C or below 26%
20°C or higher 25%
12°C 18%
11°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
17%
14°C
$0 Vol.
17%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
15%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C or higher
$5 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate mild spring conditions for Istanbul on April 5, with implied daytime highs clustering around 14-17°C (57-63°F), aligning with climatological norms for early April where daily maximums typically rise from 13°C to 16°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating Black Sea influences. Recent observations through late March show above-average warmth, peaking near 19°C, but no significant anomalies like heat domes or cold outbreaks have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift model consensus. Traders should monitor daily updates from official agencies, as southerly flows could elevate temperatures toward historical outliers above 20°C, though uncertainty remains high in ensemble spreads ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate mild spring conditions for Istanbul on April 5, with implied daytime highs clustering around 14-17°C (57-63°F), aligning with climatological norms for early April where daily maximums typically rise from 13°C to 16°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating Black Sea influences. Recent observations through late March show above-average warmth, peaking near 19°C, but no significant anomalies like heat domes or cold outbreaks have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift model consensus. Traders should monitor daily updates from official agencies, as southerly flows could elevate temperatures toward historical outliers above 20°C, though uncertainty remains high in ensemble spreads ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate mild spring conditions for Istanbul on April 5, with implied daytime highs clustering around 14-17°C (57-63°F), aligning with climatological norms for early April where daily maximums typically rise from 13°C to 16°C amid lengthening daylight and moderating Black Sea influences. Recent observations through late March show above-average warmth, peaking near 19°C, but no significant anomalies like heat domes or cold outbreaks have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift model consensus. Traders should monitor daily updates from official agencies, as southerly flows could elevate temperatures toward historical outliers above 20°C, though uncertainty remains high in ensemble spreads ahead of resolution.
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