Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 24-25°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies following recent rainfall and frontal passages. The tight clustering around 23°C, 24°C, and 26°C stems from ensemble spread in cloud cover evolution—full stratiform decks could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while partial clearing or stronger boundary layer mixing might push to 26°C. Early April climatology averages 21-23°C highs, but mild southerly flow supports the modest warmup; daily model updates through April 4 will refine these uncertainties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 6?
23°C 24%
26°C 18%
24°C 18%
21°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
20°C or below
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
12%
23°C
24%
24°C
18%
25°C
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
23°C 24%
26°C 18%
24°C 18%
21°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
20°C or below
$485 Vol.
5%
21°C
$112 Vol.
13%
22°C
$38 Vol.
12%
23°C
$48 Vol.
24%
24°C
$77 Vol.
18%
25°C
$35 Vol.
12%
26°C
$42 Vol.
18%
27°C
$36 Vol.
10%
28°C
$27 Vol.
5%
29°C
$36 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$50 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 24-25°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies following recent rainfall and frontal passages. The tight clustering around 23°C, 24°C, and 26°C stems from ensemble spread in cloud cover evolution—full stratiform decks could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while partial clearing or stronger boundary layer mixing might push to 26°C. Early April climatology averages 21-23°C highs, but mild southerly flow supports the modest warmup; daily model updates through April 4 will refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
音量
$986終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 24-25°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies following recent rainfall and frontal passages. The tight clustering around 23°C, 24°C, and 26°C stems from ensemble spread in cloud cover evolution—full stratiform decks could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while partial clearing or stronger boundary layer mixing might push to 26°C. Early April climatology averages 21-23°C highs, but mild southerly flow supports the modest warmup; daily model updates through April 4 will refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$986終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:35 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects short-range forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS and ECMWF, projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 24-25°C on April 6 amid persistent overcast skies following recent rainfall and frontal passages. The tight clustering around 23°C, 24°C, and 26°C stems from ensemble spread in cloud cover evolution—full stratiform decks could cap peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, while partial clearing or stronger boundary layer mixing might push to 26°C. Early April climatology averages 21-23°C highs, but mild southerly flow supports the modest warmup; daily model updates through April 4 will refine these uncertainties.
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