USGS seismic monitoring data confirms exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide from April 6–12, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as the observation window closed. This tally, drawn from the agency's real-time and reviewed catalog, reflects routine tectonic activity along subduction zones and fault lines, below the typical weekly global baseline of 10–15 such events based on historical patterns. Trader consensus solidified post-period as no additional qualifying quakes materialized, with final magnitude assignments unlikely to change absent unforeseen waveform reanalysis. Realistic challenges include minor USGS revisions for borderline events (e.g., 5.4–5.6 upgrades/downgrades), though rare after 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How many 5.5 or above earthquakes April 6 - April 12?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes April 6 - April 12?
3 100.0%
4 <1%
5 <1%
6 <1%
$158,239 Vol.
$158,239 Vol.
2026/04/12
3
Yes
4
No
5
No
6
No
7
No
8
No
9
No
>9
No
3 100.0%
4 <1%
5 <1%
6 <1%
$158,239 Vol.
$158,239 Vol.
2026/04/12
3
$48,215 Vol.
Yes
4
$17,808 Vol.
No
5
$9,250 Vol.
No
6
$11,245 Vol.
No
7
$7,192 Vol.
No
8
$19,735 Vol.
No
9
$10,809 Vol.
No
>9
$33,985 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring data confirms exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide from April 6–12, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as the observation window closed. This tally, drawn from the agency's real-time and reviewed catalog, reflects routine tectonic activity along subduction zones and fault lines, below the typical weekly global baseline of 10–15 such events based on historical patterns. Trader consensus solidified post-period as no additional qualifying quakes materialized, with final magnitude assignments unlikely to change absent unforeseen waveform reanalysis. Realistic challenges include minor USGS revisions for borderline events (e.g., 5.4–5.6 upgrades/downgrades), though rare after 48 hours.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$158,239終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring data confirms exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide from April 6–12, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as the observation window closed. This tally, drawn from the agency's real-time and reviewed catalog, reflects routine tectonic activity along subduction zones and fault lines, below the typical weekly global baseline of 10–15 such events based on historical patterns. Trader consensus solidified post-period as no additional qualifying quakes materialized, with final magnitude assignments unlikely to change absent unforeseen waveform reanalysis. Realistic challenges include minor USGS revisions for borderline events (e.g., 5.4–5.6 upgrades/downgrades), though rare after 48 hours.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
音量
$158,239終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
USGS seismic monitoring data confirms exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide from April 6–12, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as the observation window closed. This tally, drawn from the agency's real-time and reviewed catalog, reflects routine tectonic activity along subduction zones and fault lines, below the typical weekly global baseline of 10–15 such events based on historical patterns. Trader consensus solidified post-period as no additional qualifying quakes materialized, with final magnitude assignments unlikely to change absent unforeseen waveform reanalysis. Realistic challenges include minor USGS revisions for borderline events (e.g., 5.4–5.6 upgrades/downgrades), though rare after 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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