Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C at official Pudong International Airport or Xujiahui observation stations, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23°C (21%), 22°C (20%), and 24°C (16.5%). This reflects model agreement on mild southerly airflow and partial clearing after recent rainy patterns, slightly above the early-April climatological average of 18–20°C amid spring warming trends. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks or allow brief spikes to 25°C. New 12-hourly model updates and China Meteorological Administration advisories expected before resolution will refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
23°C 21%
22°C 20%
24°C 17%
27°C or higher 13%
新規
$10,455 Vol.
新規
$10,455 Vol.
2026/04/06
17°C or below
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
20%
23°C
21%
24°C
17%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
13%
23°C 21%
22°C 20%
24°C 17%
27°C or higher 13%
新規
$10,455 Vol.
新規
$10,455 Vol.
2026/04/06
17°C or below
$1,600 Vol.
4%
18°C
$529 Vol.
2%
19°C
$514 Vol.
4%
20°C
$774 Vol.
5%
21°C
$655 Vol.
11%
22°C
$721 Vol.
20%
23°C
$858 Vol.
21%
24°C
$1,583 Vol.
17%
25°C
$675 Vol.
11%
26°C
$846 Vol.
7%
27°C or higher
$1,701 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C at official Pudong International Airport or Xujiahui observation stations, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23°C (21%), 22°C (20%), and 24°C (16.5%). This reflects model agreement on mild southerly airflow and partial clearing after recent rainy patterns, slightly above the early-April climatological average of 18–20°C amid spring warming trends. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks or allow brief spikes to 25°C. New 12-hourly model updates and China Meteorological Administration advisories expected before resolution will refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
音量
$10,455終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C at official Pudong International Airport or Xujiahui observation stations, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23°C (21%), 22°C (20%), and 24°C (16.5%). This reflects model agreement on mild southerly airflow and partial clearing after recent rainy patterns, slightly above the early-April climatological average of 18–20°C amid spring warming trends. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks or allow brief spikes to 25°C. New 12-hourly model updates and China Meteorological Administration advisories expected before resolution will refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,455終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETLatest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 6 around 22–24°C at official Pudong International Airport or Xujiahui observation stations, driving trader consensus with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 23°C (21%), 22°C (20%), and 24°C (16.5%). This reflects model agreement on mild southerly airflow and partial clearing after recent rainy patterns, slightly above the early-April climatological average of 18–20°C amid spring warming trends. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread from variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, which could shave 1–2°C off peaks or allow brief spikes to 25°C. New 12-hourly model updates and China Meteorological Administration advisories expected before resolution will refine these probabilities amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
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