Traders' tight clustering of implied probabilities around 20–23°C reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Chongqing's highest temperature near these levels amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Early April in Chongqing's humid subtropical climate typically features daytime highs averaging 22–24°C, but current upper-air patterns—a weak trough bringing moist southerly flow—introduce uncertainty, with cloudiness potentially capping peaks at 20–21°C or allowing brief clearing to push toward 23–25°C. Recent 48-hour model runs show minor downward adjustments from prior warmer outlooks due to increased precipitation odds (40–60%), differentiating lower outcomes. Watch CMA's daily updates through April 6 for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 7?
20°C 27%
22°C 22%
21°C 22%
23°C 20%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
13%
18°C
16%
19°C
18%
20°C
27%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
20%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
16%
20°C 27%
22°C 22%
21°C 22%
23°C 20%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
13%
18°C
16%
19°C
18%
20°C
27%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
20%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders' tight clustering of implied probabilities around 20–23°C reflects the latest short-range forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Chongqing's highest temperature near these levels amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Early April in Chongqing's humid subtropical climate typically features daytime highs averaging 22–24°C, but current upper-air patterns—a weak trough bringing moist southerly flow—introduce uncertainty, with cloudiness potentially capping peaks at 20–21°C or allowing brief clearing to push toward 23–25°C. Recent 48-hour model runs show minor downward adjustments from prior warmer outlooks due to increased precipitation odds (40–60%), differentiating lower outcomes. Watch CMA's daily updates through April 6 for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements at Chongqing Jiangbei Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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