Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Denver's April 3 high temperature clustering in the mid-50s to low-60s°F range, driving the tight market-implied odds amid inherent short-range uncertainty just four days out. Following a record-shattering March heat wave with highs reaching 87°F—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge—traders now price in a cooling shift as lingering La Niña conditions transition to ENSO-neutral, favoring more typical early spring patterns with average highs near 60°F and potential for scattered showers. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of an incoming trough: southward steering and partial cloud cover could cap highs at 52-55°F, while delayed arrival or sunnier breaks might push toward 60-67°F. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and 00z model refreshes resolving frontal position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
54-55°F 19%
58-59°F 19%
68°F or higher 19%
62-63°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
49°F or below
7%
50-51°F
12%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
18%
68°F or higher
32%
54-55°F 19%
58-59°F 19%
68°F or higher 19%
62-63°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
49°F or below
$5 Vol.
7%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
12%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
17%
54-55°F
$2 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
18%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
19%
60-61°F
$36 Vol.
18%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
18%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
18%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
18%
68°F or higher
$150 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Denver's April 3 high temperature clustering in the mid-50s to low-60s°F range, driving the tight market-implied odds amid inherent short-range uncertainty just four days out. Following a record-shattering March heat wave with highs reaching 87°F—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge—traders now price in a cooling shift as lingering La Niña conditions transition to ENSO-neutral, favoring more typical early spring patterns with average highs near 60°F and potential for scattered showers. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of an incoming trough: southward steering and partial cloud cover could cap highs at 52-55°F, while delayed arrival or sunnier breaks might push toward 60-67°F. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and 00z model refreshes resolving frontal position.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
音量
$193終了日
Apr 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Denver's April 3 high temperature clustering in the mid-50s to low-60s°F range, driving the tight market-implied odds amid inherent short-range uncertainty just four days out. Following a record-shattering March heat wave with highs reaching 87°F—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge—traders now price in a cooling shift as lingering La Niña conditions transition to ENSO-neutral, favoring more typical early spring patterns with average highs near 60°F and potential for scattered showers. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of an incoming trough: southward steering and partial cloud cover could cap highs at 52-55°F, while delayed arrival or sunnier breaks might push toward 60-67°F. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and 00z model refreshes resolving frontal position.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$193終了日
Apr 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show Denver's April 3 high temperature clustering in the mid-50s to low-60s°F range, driving the tight market-implied odds amid inherent short-range uncertainty just four days out. Following a record-shattering March heat wave with highs reaching 87°F—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge—traders now price in a cooling shift as lingering La Niña conditions transition to ENSO-neutral, favoring more typical early spring patterns with average highs near 60°F and potential for scattered showers. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of an incoming trough: southward steering and partial cloud cover could cap highs at 52-55°F, while delayed arrival or sunnier breaks might push toward 60-67°F. Watch for afternoon NWS updates and 00z model refreshes resolving frontal position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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