Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Denver's April 2 high temperature, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around 67–71°F (leading outcomes at 22–23%) due to conflicting global forecast model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a shift toward cooler conditions as a potent upper-level trough approaches from the northwest, potentially bringing cloud cover, gusty winds, and light precipitation or snow chances to the metro area starting Thursday, capping highs below recent record warm anomalies. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of the cold front—earlier arrival favors 67°F or below via increased overcast skies, while delays allow solar heating for 70–71°F—against a climatological normal of 60°F. Watch NWS Boulder updates and Thursday morning model refreshes for resolution clarity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 23%
67°F or below 22.3%
74-75°F 19%
67°F or below
22%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
5%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 23%
67°F or below 22.3%
74-75°F 19%
67°F or below
22%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Denver's April 2 high temperature, with market-implied odds tightly clustered around 67–71°F (leading outcomes at 22–23%) due to conflicting global forecast model runs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a shift toward cooler conditions as a potent upper-level trough approaches from the northwest, potentially bringing cloud cover, gusty winds, and light precipitation or snow chances to the metro area starting Thursday, capping highs below recent record warm anomalies. Differentiating factors include the exact timing of the cold front—earlier arrival favors 67°F or below via increased overcast skies, while delays allow solar heating for 70–71°F—against a climatological normal of 60°F. Watch NWS Boulder updates and Thursday morning model refreshes for resolution clarity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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