Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8, with 17°C leading at 24.5%, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 18°C (19.5%), driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast projecting 20°C under partly cloudy skies and just 20% precipitation risk—yet tempered by a cooler April 7 outlook at 19°C following warmer highs of 24-25°C on April 5-6. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderating sea breezes from the Pacific, and a two-week JMA outlook signaling above-normal highs but below-normal lows around 11°C, aligning with early April climatology averaging 18°C amid spring frontal passages. Daily JMA updates from its Global Spectral Model will clarify as short-range guidance sharpens over the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 8?
17°C 26%
18°C 22%
16°C 21%
19°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
10°C or below
4%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
10%
16°C
21%
17°C
26%
18°C
22%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
10%
17°C 26%
18°C 22%
16°C 21%
19°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/08
10°C or below
$195 Vol.
4%
11°C
$263 Vol.
1%
12°C
$259 Vol.
1%
13°C
$298 Vol.
1%
14°C
$22 Vol.
7%
15°C
$13 Vol.
10%
16°C
$61 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$10 Vol.
22%
19°C
$10 Vol.
15%
20°C or higher
$13 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8, with 17°C leading at 24.5%, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 18°C (19.5%), driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast projecting 20°C under partly cloudy skies and just 20% precipitation risk—yet tempered by a cooler April 7 outlook at 19°C following warmer highs of 24-25°C on April 5-6. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderating sea breezes from the Pacific, and a two-week JMA outlook signaling above-normal highs but below-normal lows around 11°C, aligning with early April climatology averaging 18°C amid spring frontal passages. Daily JMA updates from its Global Spectral Model will clarify as short-range guidance sharpens over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
音量
$1,144終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8, with 17°C leading at 24.5%, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 18°C (19.5%), driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast projecting 20°C under partly cloudy skies and just 20% precipitation risk—yet tempered by a cooler April 7 outlook at 19°C following warmer highs of 24-25°C on April 5-6. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderating sea breezes from the Pacific, and a two-week JMA outlook signaling above-normal highs but below-normal lows around 11°C, aligning with early April climatology averaging 18°C amid spring frontal passages. Daily JMA updates from its Global Spectral Model will clarify as short-range guidance sharpens over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,144終了日
2026/04/08マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 8, with 17°C leading at 24.5%, closely trailed by 16°C (21%) and 18°C (19.5%), driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast projecting 20°C under partly cloudy skies and just 20% precipitation risk—yet tempered by a cooler April 7 outlook at 19°C following warmer highs of 24-25°C on April 5-6. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderating sea breezes from the Pacific, and a two-week JMA outlook signaling above-normal highs but below-normal lows around 11°C, aligning with early April climatology averaging 18°C amid spring frontal passages. Daily JMA updates from its Global Spectral Model will clarify as short-range guidance sharpens over the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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