Japan Meteorological Agency's April 3 afternoon forecast projects a high of 25°C at Tokyo Haneda Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with 50% chance of scattered showers, reflecting a persistent warm anomaly driving early cherry blossom full bloom and above-normal spring temperatures. Trader consensus clusters implied probabilities around 21–23°C (27.5–29.5%), as cloud cover and potential showers could limit solar insolation and peak heating despite southerly winds advecting mild air from the Pacific. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in frontal timing and precipitation intensity, with historical early-April highs averaging 17°C but recent days warmer amid high-pressure ridging. Watch JMA's next 17:00 update on April 4 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日の東京の最高気温は？
4月5日の東京の最高気温は？
22℃ 34%
23℃以上 29%
21℃ 27%
20°C 11%
$14,337 Vol.
$14,337 Vol.
2026/04/05
13℃以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
1%
18℃
4%
19℃
5%
20°C
11%
21℃
27%
22℃
34%
23℃以上
29%
22℃ 34%
23℃以上 29%
21℃ 27%
20°C 11%
$14,337 Vol.
$14,337 Vol.
2026/04/05
13℃以下
$1,905 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$1,863 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$1,987 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$818 Vol.
1%
18℃
$1,072 Vol.
4%
19℃
$910 Vol.
5%
20°C
$1,089 Vol.
11%
21℃
$975 Vol.
27%
22℃
$802 Vol.
34%
23℃以上
$1,475 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's April 3 afternoon forecast projects a high of 25°C at Tokyo Haneda Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with 50% chance of scattered showers, reflecting a persistent warm anomaly driving early cherry blossom full bloom and above-normal spring temperatures. Trader consensus clusters implied probabilities around 21–23°C (27.5–29.5%), as cloud cover and potential showers could limit solar insolation and peak heating despite southerly winds advecting mild air from the Pacific. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in frontal timing and precipitation intensity, with historical early-April highs averaging 17°C but recent days warmer amid high-pressure ridging. Watch JMA's next 17:00 update on April 4 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$14,337終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's April 3 afternoon forecast projects a high of 25°C at Tokyo Haneda Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with 50% chance of scattered showers, reflecting a persistent warm anomaly driving early cherry blossom full bloom and above-normal spring temperatures. Trader consensus clusters implied probabilities around 21–23°C (27.5–29.5%), as cloud cover and potential showers could limit solar insolation and peak heating despite southerly winds advecting mild air from the Pacific. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in frontal timing and precipitation intensity, with historical early-April highs averaging 17°C but recent days warmer amid high-pressure ridging. Watch JMA's next 17:00 update on April 4 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$14,337終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency's April 3 afternoon forecast projects a high of 25°C at Tokyo Haneda Airport on April 5 under cloudy skies with 50% chance of scattered showers, reflecting a persistent warm anomaly driving early cherry blossom full bloom and above-normal spring temperatures. Trader consensus clusters implied probabilities around 21–23°C (27.5–29.5%), as cloud cover and potential showers could limit solar insolation and peak heating despite southerly winds advecting mild air from the Pacific. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in frontal timing and precipitation intensity, with historical early-April highs averaging 17°C but recent days warmer amid high-pressure ridging. Watch JMA's next 17:00 update on April 4 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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