Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) recorded the highest temperature on April 8 at 70-71°F, as detailed in the daily climatological report released yesterday, cementing trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a multi-day cooling trend. This follows peaks of 85°F on April 4 and 75-77°F on April 5-7, driven by a deepening upper-level trough ushering cooler marine air and persistent stratiform clouds suppressing daytime heating under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced coastal dynamics typical for spring in Southern California. Model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated this moderation 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control if sensor anomalies are detected, though historical revision rates for automated surface observing systems remain below 1%. Final resolution awaits NWS confirmation, expected within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$132,992 Vol.
$132,992 Vol.
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$132,992 Vol.
$132,992 Vol.
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) recorded the highest temperature on April 8 at 70-71°F, as detailed in the daily climatological report released yesterday, cementing trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a multi-day cooling trend. This follows peaks of 85°F on April 4 and 75-77°F on April 5-7, driven by a deepening upper-level trough ushering cooler marine air and persistent stratiform clouds suppressing daytime heating under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced coastal dynamics typical for spring in Southern California. Model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System had anticipated this moderation 24-48 hours prior. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control if sensor anomalies are detected, though historical revision rates for automated surface observing systems remain below 1%. Final resolution awaits NWS confirmation, expected within 24 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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