Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 56-59°F for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's highest temperature on April 8, mirroring National Weather Service guidance forecasting partly cloudy skies with highs near 57°F and long-range models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging in the upper 50s. This balance reflects persistent spring marine layer effects—low stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific—that often limit peak heating in the Puget Sound region, despite NOAA's above-average April temperature outlook for the Pacific Northwest driven by a developing upper-level ridge. Historical April averages hover at 57°F, but day-to-day variability from cloud timing and solar insolation creates the narrow spread; watch for overnight model runs and NWS updates through April 7 for potential shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 8?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 8?
58-59°F 31%
56-57°F 27%
60-61°F 22%
54-55°F 15%
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
31%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
6%
64°F or higher
3%
58-59°F 31%
56-57°F 27%
60-61°F 22%
54-55°F 15%
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
3%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
31%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
6%
64°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 56-59°F for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport's highest temperature on April 8, mirroring National Weather Service guidance forecasting partly cloudy skies with highs near 57°F and long-range models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging in the upper 50s. This balance reflects persistent spring marine layer effects—low stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific—that often limit peak heating in the Puget Sound region, despite NOAA's above-average April temperature outlook for the Pacific Northwest driven by a developing upper-level ridge. Historical April averages hover at 57°F, but day-to-day variability from cloud timing and solar insolation creates the narrow spread; watch for overnight model runs and NWS updates through April 7 for potential shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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