Market icon

4月5日の香港の最高気温は？

Market icon

4月5日の香港の最高気温は？

4月 1

4月 2

4月 3

4月 4

4月 1

4月 2

4月 3

4月 4

26°C 30%

27℃ 27%

28°C 26%

25°C 13%

Polymarket
新規

26°C 30%

27℃ 27%

28°C 26%

25°C 13%

Polymarket
新規

19℃以下

$620 Vol.

1%

20°C

$727 Vol.

2%

21°C

$755 Vol.

3%

22°C

$493 Vol.

5%

23°C

$500 Vol.

6%

24℃

$127 Vol.

7%

25°C

$91 Vol.

13%

26°C

$120 Vol.

30%

27℃

$70 Vol.

27%

28°C

$151 Vol.

22%

29℃以上

$80 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 2, projecting a daytime high of 28°C on April 5 amid mainly cloudy skies, showers, and isolated squally thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure lingering over southern China's coast. High humidity (75-95%) and southeasterly winds force 3-5 will likely moderate solar heating, capping temperatures in the 26-28°C range favored by markets at over 75% implied probability combined. Persistent cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty, with models suggesting potential for slightly lower peaks if precipitation intensifies, as seen in recent unsettled days (April 1-3 highs around 26-28°C). Watch HKO's twice-daily updates and April 3-4 observations for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Hong Kong Observatory measurements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,735
終了日
2026/04/05
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 2, projecting a daytime high of 28°C on April 5 amid mainly cloudy skies, showers, and isolated squally thunderstorms driven by a trough of low pressure lingering over southern China's coast. High humidity (75-95%) and southeasterly winds force 3-5 will likely moderate solar heating, capping temperatures in the 26-28°C range favored by markets at over 75% implied probability combined. Persistent cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty, with models suggesting potential for slightly lower peaks if precipitation intensifies, as seen in recent unsettled days (April 1-3 highs around 26-28°C). Watch HKO's twice-daily updates and April 3-4 observations for refinements ahead of resolution based on official Hong Kong Observatory measurements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,735
終了日
2026/04/05
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月5日の香港の最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「26°C」で30%、次いで「27℃」が27%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、30¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に30%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「4月5日の香港の最高気温は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 1, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「4月5日の香港の最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月5日の香港の最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「26°C」で30%であり、市場がこの結果に30%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「27℃」で27%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月5日の香港の最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。