Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reveal a wide spread in projected highs for Dallas on April 9, with members clustering around mid-50s°F to low 70s°F, driving the near-uniform market-implied probabilities. Recent cooler, drier air masses following regional rains have lowered short-range NWS guidance to 60s°F through mid-week, but uncertainty stems from the timing and intensity of an approaching upper-level shortwave trough and associated frontal boundary, which could enhance cloudiness, north winds, and shower risks to cap temperatures in the 50s or allow mixing to near 70°F under partial clearing. Climatological April highs average 73°F with high day-to-day variability from synoptic shifts in the Southern Plains. Watch NWS updates and 12z ensembles for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations at Dallas-area stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on April 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 9?
70°F or higher 50%
64-65°F 25%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 25%
51°F or below
4%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
23%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70°F or higher
50%
70°F or higher 50%
64-65°F 25%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 25%
51°F or below
4%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
23%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
25%
70°F or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 5, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reveal a wide spread in projected highs for Dallas on April 9, with members clustering around mid-50s°F to low 70s°F, driving the near-uniform market-implied probabilities. Recent cooler, drier air masses following regional rains have lowered short-range NWS guidance to 60s°F through mid-week, but uncertainty stems from the timing and intensity of an approaching upper-level shortwave trough and associated frontal boundary, which could enhance cloudiness, north winds, and shower risks to cap temperatures in the 50s or allow mixing to near 70°F under partial clearing. Climatological April highs average 73°F with high day-to-day variability from synoptic shifts in the Southern Plains. Watch NWS updates and 12z ensembles for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations at Dallas-area stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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